樊帆, 丁峥嵘, 李琼芬, 赵智娴, 孔毅, 汤晶晶, 张杰. 2016年云南省脊髓灰质炎疫情输入传播风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(7): 548-552. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.07.006
引用本文: 樊帆, 丁峥嵘, 李琼芬, 赵智娴, 孔毅, 汤晶晶, 张杰. 2016年云南省脊髓灰质炎疫情输入传播风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(7): 548-552. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.07.006
FAN Fan, DING Zheng-rong, LI Qiong-fen, ZHAO Zhi-xian, KONG Yi, TANG Jing-jing, ZHANG Jie. Risk assessment of wild poliovirus importation and transmission in Yunnan province,2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(7): 548-552. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.07.006
Citation: FAN Fan, DING Zheng-rong, LI Qiong-fen, ZHAO Zhi-xian, KONG Yi, TANG Jing-jing, ZHANG Jie. Risk assessment of wild poliovirus importation and transmission in Yunnan province,2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(7): 548-552. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.07.006

2016年云南省脊髓灰质炎疫情输入传播风险评估

Risk assessment of wild poliovirus importation and transmission in Yunnan province,2016

  • 摘要: 目的 评估云南省各州(市) 2016 年脊髓灰质炎(脊灰)疫情输入传播的风险,为制定应对策略并采取针对性措施阻止脊灰疫情输入传播提供参考。方法 在中国2014年脊灰野病毒输入传播风险评估工具的基础上,用改良的两级指标体系评估云南省2016年脊灰输入传播的风险。通过收集相关资料,对各指标进行相应评分,累加得到各州(市)综合评分,并以此研判各州(市)脊灰疫情输入传播的风险水平。结果 本次评估从人群免疫情况、急性弛缓性麻痹病例监测信息报告管理系统运转质量和境外输入风险三方面对各州(市)进行评估,西双版纳傣族自治州、临沧市、红河哈尼族彝族自治州、文山壮族苗族自治州、昭通市综合评分最高为高风险;玉溪市等6个州(市)为中风险;大理白族自治州等5个州(市)为低风险。结论 利用调整后的评估工具将云南省16个州(市)分为脊灰疫情输入传播高、中、低3类风险地区,为不同风险水平地区和不同薄弱环节采取针对性措施和巩固无脊灰成果提供了参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Objective To assess the risk of wild poliovirus importation and transmission at prefecture level in Yunnan province in 2016,and provide evidence for the development and implementation of strategies or policies to keep polio-free status in Yunnan province. Methods Based on the wild poliovirus importation and transmission risk assessment tool developed by China CDC, we used a revised risk assessment tool with primary and secondary indicators to conduct comprehensive analysis on the risk of wild poliovirus importation and transmission at prefecture level in Yunnan province.Each primary assessment indicator contained several secondary assessment indicators.The risk of wild poliovirus importation and transmission were scored. Results We performed the assessment in terms of herd immunity, performance of acute flaccid paralysis surveillance and importation risk of wild poliovirus. The assessment indicated that Xishuangbanna, Lincang, Honghe, Wenshan Zhaotong, prefectures were at high risk due to the high scores, Yuxi and other 5 prefectures were at medium risk; and Dali and other 4 prefectures were at low risks. Conclusion We divided the risk of wild poliovirus importation and transmission in Yunnan province into 3 levels. According to the results of risk assessment, different strategies for polio control and prevention should be developed to keep polio-free status in Yunnan.

     

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