2020年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

孟玲; 涂文校; 宋洋; 向妮娟; 施国庆

doi:10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2020.12.004

2020年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, December 2020

摘要

摘要:
目的评估2020年12月在中国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息，采用专家会商法，并通过视频会议形式邀请省（自治区、直辖市）疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
结果总体上，预计12月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将较11月有所上升。全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情此起彼伏、持续蔓延，我国境内发生境外输入及续发本地传播风险持续存在，但在可控范围内。
结论需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注。

Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in December 2020.
Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the incidence data of public health emergencies reported both at home and abroad and the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference through video terminal.
Results Generally speaking, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would be higher in December than November. At present, the global COVID-19 pandemic is still ongoing out of control. The risk of imported cases and secondary transmission of COVID-19 still exists in China, but it would be controllable.
Conclusion Special attention should be paid to COVID-19.

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