孟玲, 涂文校, 冯晔囡, 王富珍, 李超, 杨磊, 靳淼, 周静, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2021年3月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(3): 201-203. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202103230148
引用本文: 孟玲, 涂文校, 冯晔囡, 王富珍, 李超, 杨磊, 靳淼, 周静, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2021年3月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(3): 201-203. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202103230148
Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Feng Yenan, Wang Fuzhen, Li Chao, Yang Lei, Jin Miao, Zhou Jing, Xiang Nijuan, Shi Guoqing. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, March 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(3): 201-203. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202103230148
Citation: Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Feng Yenan, Wang Fuzhen, Li Chao, Yang Lei, Jin Miao, Zhou Jing, Xiang Nijuan, Shi Guoqing. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, March 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(3): 201-203. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202103230148

2021年3月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, March 2021

  • 摘要:
      目的   评估2021年3月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法   根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
      结果   总体上,预计3月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将较2月有所上升。 我国境内发生境外输入及续发本地传播风险持续存在,但在可控范围内。 仍可能出现人感染禽流感散发病例。 诺如病毒感染性腹泻病疫情将继续升高,学校仍将出现聚集或暴发疫情。 南方省份毒蘑菇中毒将开始增多。
      结论   需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对人感染禽流感、诺如病毒肠炎和毒蘑菇中毒予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in March 2021.
      Methods   An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
      Results   Generally speaking, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would be higher in March than February. The risk of imported cases and secondary infections of COVID-19 would continue to exist, but would be controllable. Sporadic cases of human infection with avian influenza might still occur. Enteritis due to norovirus would continue to increase, and clusters and outbreaks might still occur in schools and childcare facilities. Mushroom poisoning would begin to increase in southern provinces.
      Conclusion   Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to human infection with avian influenza, enteritis due to norovirus and mushroom poisoning.

     

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