张根友, 刘洁, 史四九, 厉虹淼, 柳叶, 梁路, 张敏. 2011-2020年安徽省肺结核疫情变化趋势及流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(10): 1025-1030. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106290371
引用本文: 张根友, 刘洁, 史四九, 厉虹淼, 柳叶, 梁路, 张敏. 2011-2020年安徽省肺结核疫情变化趋势及流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(10): 1025-1030. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106290371
Zhang Genyou, Liu Jie, Shi Sijiu, Li Hongmiao, Liu Ye, Liang Lu, Zhang Min. Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Anhui, 2011–2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(10): 1025-1030. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106290371
Citation: Zhang Genyou, Liu Jie, Shi Sijiu, Li Hongmiao, Liu Ye, Liang Lu, Zhang Min. Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Anhui, 2011–2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(10): 1025-1030. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106290371

2011-2020年安徽省肺结核疫情变化趋势及流行特征分析

Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Anhui, 2011–2020

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析2011—2020年安徽省肺结核疫情流行病学特征,为制定“十四五”结核病防治规划提供科学依据。
      方法  利用“结核病信息管理系统”收集安徽省2011— 2020年登记的结核病信息资料,通过描述性流行病学研究方法分析结核病的三间分布和长期变化趋势。
      结果  2011—2020年共登记肺结核病例324 916例,年均登记发病率为52.60/10万,10年间下降趋势差异有统计学意义(趋势χ2 =3 562.203,P<0.001);“十三五”规划期间新诊断技术的推广使病原学阳性肺结核构成比逐年上升。 男女构成比差异有统计学意义(χ2=6 411.398,P<0.001);患者登记发病率随着年龄的增加而升高,≥65岁组达138.48/10万;职业以农民为主(74.41%);3—5月是发病高峰,季节性明显;登记发病数居前3位的分别是合肥市(12.88%)、阜阳市(11.92%)和安庆市(8.52%),沿长江城市带(铜陵、池州、马鞍山、安庆、芜湖)年均报告发病率高于非沿江城市地区(χ2=49.706, P<0.001)。
      结论  安徽省防治规划成效显著,2020年肺结核病例的发现受到了新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情影响。 男性、≥65岁高龄人群、农民是重点关注对象,需加强冬春季节和重点区域的结核病防控措施。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Anhui province from 2011 to 2020 and provide evidence for the development of TB control strategy in the 14th Five-Year Plan period
      Methods  By using descriptive epidemiology method, the population, space and time distributions and incidence trend of TB in Anhui 2011 to 2020 were analyzed based on the data from TB information management system.
      Results  From 2011 to 2020, a total of 324 916 cases of pulmonary TB were registered in Anhui, the average annual registered incidence rate was 52.60/100 000, showing a significant decline trend (trend χ2=3562.203, P<0.001).The wide use of new diagnostic techniques during the 13th Five-Year Plan period has improved the etiological positive detection of pulmonary TB, the difference in pulmonary TB detection between men and women was significant ( χ2=6411.398, P<0.001). The registered incidence rate increased with age, which was highest in age group ≥65 years (138.48/100 000). The majority of pulmonary TB cases were farmers (74.41%). The incidence of pulmonary TB peaked during March - May with obvious seasonality, and the cases were mainly distributed in Hefei (12.88%), Fuyang (11.92%) and Anqing (8.52%). The incidence were significantly higher in areas along the Yangtze River (Tongling, Chizhou, Ma’anshan, Anqing and Wuhu) than in other areas ( χ2=49.706, P<0.001).
      Conclusion  TB control had achieved remarkable success in Anhui, but the case finding of pulmonary TB was affected by COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. It is necessary to strengthen the TB prevention and control in men, age group ≥65 years and farmers and in winter/spring and key areas in Anhui.

     

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