魏依侬, 李超, 王大燕, 任婧寰, 孟玲, 涂文校, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2021年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(12): 1231-1234. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202112190650
引用本文: 魏依侬, 李超, 王大燕, 任婧寰, 孟玲, 涂文校, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2021年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(12): 1231-1234. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202112190650
Wei Yinong, Li Chao, Wang Dayan, Ren Jinghuan, Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Xiang Nijuan, Shi Guoqing. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, December 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(12): 1231-1234. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202112190650
Citation: Wei Yinong, Li Chao, Wang Dayan, Ren Jinghuan, Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Xiang Nijuan, Shi Guoqing. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, December 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(12): 1231-1234. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202112190650

2021年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, December 2021

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2021年12月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法  根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
      结果   总体上,预计12月突发公共卫生事件报告数可能将较11月上升。 我国境内发生新型冠状病毒境外输入及续发本地传播风险持续存在,仍在可控范围内。 人感染禽流感可能继续发现散发病例。 季节性流感活动会进一步增强,暴发疫情也将继续上升。 预计12月随着冬季气温降低,居民取暖需求增加,非职业性一氧化碳中毒较11月会有明显上升。
      结论   需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对人感染禽流感,季节性流感,非职业性一氧化碳中毒予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in December 2021.
      Methods   An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
      Results   It is expected the public health emergencies in December 2021 will increase compared with that in November 2021.There is still risk, which is under control, of both coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) imported cases and subsequent local transmission of imported COVID-19 cases in China. Sporadic human infections of avian influenza might occur continuously, while seasonal flu cases will increase with more outbreaks. It is expected that non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning will increase significantly in December compared with that in November, as a consequence of decreasing temperature during winter and growing demand for heating among people.
      Conclusion  Special attention should be paid to COVID-19. General attentions should be paid to human infections of avian influenza, seasonal flu and non-occupation carbon monoxide poisoning.

     

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