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王振海, 朱顺元, 顾伟玲. 灰色数列预测模型在生存率预测中的应用[J]. 疾病监测, 1997, 12(8): 307-310. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.8.307
引用本文: 王振海, 朱顺元, 顾伟玲. 灰色数列预测模型在生存率预测中的应用[J]. 疾病监测, 1997, 12(8): 307-310. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.8.307
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Wang Zhenhai et al, . Application of Grey Dynamic Model in Survival rate Prediction[J]. Disease Surveillance, 1997, 12(8): 307-310. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.8.307
Citation: Wang Zhenhai et al, . Application of Grey Dynamic Model in Survival rate Prediction[J]. Disease Surveillance, 1997, 12(8): 307-310. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.1997.8.307
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灰色数列预测模型在生存率预测中的应用

Application of Grey Dynamic Model in Survival rate Prediction

    摘要
  • 摘要: 本文采用灰色系统ＧＭ（１，１）模型，对６０７例乳腺癌手术后生存率进行预测分析。经拟合和外推预测结果满意。拟合误差率０．３６～１．８２％，外推预测误差率０．３４～２．８２％。此模型适用于进行生存率预测分析。

     

    Abstract: The postoperative survival rate of 607 cases of breast cancer was predicted by using Grey Dynamic Model.The results showed that the error rate of fitting was 0.36～1.82%,and the error rate of predicting was 0.34～2.82%.So Grey Dynamic Model could be used as survival rate prediction.

     

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