谢立, 吴静芳, 程瑾, 黄春萍, 邓晶. 1990~1999年杭州市传染病发病趋势[J]. 疾病监测, 2005, 20(12): 644-647. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.12.644
引用本文: 谢立, 吴静芳, 程瑾, 黄春萍, 邓晶. 1990~1999年杭州市传染病发病趋势[J]. 疾病监测, 2005, 20(12): 644-647. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.12.644
XIE Li, WU Jing-fang, CHENG Jin, HUANG Chun-ping, DENG Jing. Incidence Tendency of Infectious Diseases in Hangzhou from 1990 to 1999[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2005, 20(12): 644-647. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.12.644
Citation: XIE Li, WU Jing-fang, CHENG Jin, HUANG Chun-ping, DENG Jing. Incidence Tendency of Infectious Diseases in Hangzhou from 1990 to 1999[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2005, 20(12): 644-647. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.12.644

1990~1999年杭州市传染病发病趋势

Incidence Tendency of Infectious Diseases in Hangzhou from 1990 to 1999

  • 摘要: 目的评价杭州市90年代传染病发病率的变化趋势。方法逐年计算传染病发病率,采用线性回归分析方法,用平均增长速度、年度变化百分比、年度变化贡献率三项统计指标分析杭州市90年代传染病发病趋势与流行规律。结果平均增长速度上升最快的是梅毒,下降最快的为百日咳,主要发病病种肝炎、痢疾下降,淋病和结核上升。百日咳、出血热、肝炎、梅毒、淋病、伤寒等6种病的年度变化百分比变化趋势均显示有统计学差异,但值得注意的是痢疾的变化并未显示出统计学意义。年度变化贡献率的计算显示肝炎对发病率下降的贡献最大,淋病对发病率上升的贡献最大;10年间传染病随年度发生变化,具有显著的统计学意义。结论杭州市90年代传染病发病趋势呈明显下降趋势,实施的预防控制措施产生了积极的作用。

     

    Abstract: Objectives The present study was conducted to evaluate the tendency of infections diseases in Hangzhou in 90's.Methods The incidence rate of infectious diseases was calculated annuany.Linear regression analysis method was apphed to analyze the incidence and its tendencyas well as its endemic mode in Hangzhou in 90's in terms of 3 statistic indexes,I.E.Average increasing rate,annual change percentage and annual change contribution ratio.Results The incidence rate of syphilis rose fastest,and that of pertussis declined fastest.As for those major infectious diseases,the incidence rates of hepatitis and dysentery were in a shfirddng tendency while these of blannorrhea and phymatinsis were in an increasing tendency The differences of annual change percentage for the six diseases,pertussis,hemoffhage fever hepatitis,syphilis,blennorrhea and typhoid were all significant,yet it should be paid attention that the difference of annual changing percentage for dysentery was not significant According to the calculated annual change contribution ratio,hepatitis contributed the most to the decline of the incidence rate.Whereas biennorrhea contributed the most to the increase.During the ten years,the incidence rates of infections disease had been changing annually and were statistically significant Conclusion The incidence rate of infectious diseases showed a tendency of obvious decline,which meant that the application of prevention and control measurements took positive effect

     

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