汪芬娟, 金以森, 诸建伟, 徐钟渭. 杭州市萧山区1984~2003年恶性肿瘤死亡趋势及减寿分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2005, 20(3): 157-160. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.3.157
引用本文: 汪芬娟, 金以森, 诸建伟, 徐钟渭. 杭州市萧山区1984~2003年恶性肿瘤死亡趋势及减寿分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2005, 20(3): 157-160. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.3.157
WANG Fen-juan, JIN Yi-sen, ZHU Jian-wei, XU Zhong-wei. Analysis of Deaths from Malignant Tumors and of Life Span Reduction from 1984 through 2003 in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2005, 20(3): 157-160. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.3.157
Citation: WANG Fen-juan, JIN Yi-sen, ZHU Jian-wei, XU Zhong-wei. Analysis of Deaths from Malignant Tumors and of Life Span Reduction from 1984 through 2003 in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2005, 20(3): 157-160. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2005.3.157

杭州市萧山区1984~2003年恶性肿瘤死亡趋势及减寿分析

Analysis of Deaths from Malignant Tumors and of Life Span Reduction from 1984 through 2003 in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨萧山区居民1984~2 0 0 3年恶性肿瘤的死亡水平及变化趋势。方法 通过疾病监测系统收集恶性肿瘤死亡资料,用线性回归分析2 0年恶性肿瘤死亡变化趋势。结果 萧山区2 0年间恶性肿瘤总死亡率呈显著上升趋势,占全死因顺位第三位,调整死亡率10 7 4 2 / 10万;6 0岁以上高年龄组死亡率呈上升趋势;肺癌、男性食管癌、女性肠癌死亡率呈显著上升趋势;全死因减寿率呈下降趋势;恶性肿瘤对平均期望寿命的损耗为2 5 2岁,去肿瘤人均期望寿命平均可增加3 4 7%。结论 区内6 0岁以上老年人群恶性肿瘤死亡率呈上升趋势,恶性肿瘤占全死因减寿率构成比增加,肺癌、男性食管癌、女性肠癌死亡率呈显著上升趋势,针对变化趋势,探索原因,研究对策,降低恶性肿瘤对居民的危害.

     

    Abstract: Objective The present analysis was designed to determine the mortality of malignant tu-mors and its changing tendency Methods Data of deaths collected by the disease surveillance system were used for assessing the changing trend of mortality of malignancies by linear regreasion analysis.Re-sults The total death rate of malignant tumors had taken on a trend of significant increase during the period of 20 years in the district,with adjusted mortality rate being 107. 42/10,000,which WaS ranked as the third cause of all deaths. An increasing tendency in mortality rate was seen in the age group of over 60 years. Mortality rate of lung cancer,carcinoma of esophagus in malea,bowel cancer in females displayed a trend of significant increase displayed an increasing trend. There was a decreasing tendency in the rate of life-span reduction of all cause of death. The average life expectancy reduction by malignant tumors was 2.52 years,and when tumors were excluded the average life expectancy increased by 3.47%. Conclusion Countermeasure aiming directly at the changes should be taken to decrease the risk of malignant tumors among loca residents.

     

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