周脉耕, 姜勇, 黄正京, 吴凡. 全国疾病监测点系统的调整与代表性评价[J]. 疾病监测, 2010, 25(3): 239-244. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2010.03.023
引用本文: 周脉耕, 姜勇, 黄正京, 吴凡. 全国疾病监测点系统的调整与代表性评价[J]. 疾病监测, 2010, 25(3): 239-244. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2010.03.023
ZHOU Mai-geng, JIANG Yong, HUANG Zheng-jing, WU Fan. Adjustment and representativeness evaluation of national disease surveillance points system[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2010, 25(3): 239-244. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2010.03.023
Citation: ZHOU Mai-geng, JIANG Yong, HUANG Zheng-jing, WU Fan. Adjustment and representativeness evaluation of national disease surveillance points system[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2010, 25(3): 239-244. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2010.03.023

全国疾病监测点系统的调整与代表性评价

Adjustment and representativeness evaluation of national disease surveillance points system

  • 摘要: 目的 在原全国疾病监测点系统(disease surveillance points system,DSPs)基础上进行系统调整并评价其代表性。 方法 利用2000年人口普查资料和全国市县调查数据,对1989年调整后的全国疾病监测点系统的代表性进行评价,评价方法为分别对DSPs所有县(区)、城市部分、农村部分及东、中、西部城市农村部分的人均国内生产总值、非农业人口比重、15岁以上人口文盲率、0~14岁人口占整个人口的比例、65岁人口占整个人口的比例、死亡率、出生率等指标使用u检验与全国相应地区进行比较,并在评价结果的基础上进行系统调整。具体步骤为按照东、中、西部的经济指标和县(区)人口数,将全国所有县(区)分成54层,对照全国各层中县(区)的实际数,确定全国疾病监测点系统中相应各层的县(区)理论数,然后对目前监测系统各层中监测点的数量和分布进行调整。进而对调整之后的系统进行代表性评价。 结果 全国、全国农村、全国城市,东、中、西部的城市,以及西部农村,与原全国疾病监测点系统中的相应地区之间均有一个或多个指标差异有统计学意义。调整后的全国疾病监测点系统共161个县(区),其中包含63个区和98个县(县级市)。对其进行代表性评价结果显示,DSPs中除城乡合计外,农村、城市,东、中、西部的城市、农村,与全国相应地区之间各类指标差异均无统计学意义。 结论 调整后的全国疾病监测点系统对全国城市和全国农村均具有良好的代表性,对全国合计的估计需要校正城市和农村的比例方可代表全国水平。

     

    Abstract: Objective To adjust the national disease surveillance points system (DSPs) and evaluate its representativeness. Methods The census data in 2000 and nationwide county survey data were used to evaluate the representativeness of national DSPs adjusted in 1989. U test was used to compare the GDP per capita, the proportion of non-agricultural population, the illiteracy rate of the people aged over 15, the proportion of 0-14 years old people and the proportion of 65 years old people in total population, mortality rate, birth rate in the areas in DSPs with corresponding area in the country, and the DSPs was adjusted according to the evaluation results. The counties in the country were divided into 54 strata based on the indicators of geographic characteristics, economics and population. The actual county number in each stratum was used to determine the theoretical county number in each stratum in DSPs, and then the number and distribution of the surveillance points in current DSPs were adjusted. The representative evaluation was conducted again after the system adjustment. Results One or more indicators were significant different between the rural and urban areas, eastern central and western urban areas, as well as the western rural areas in national DSPs and the corresponding areas in the country, Adjusted national DSPs includes 161 counties/districts (63 districts and 98 counties). The representative evaluation results indicated that there was no significant difference of on the indicators between urban areas, rural areas, eastern central and western urban areas and rural areas in national DSPs and the corresponding areas in the country except the total indicator of urban and rural area. Conclusion Adjusted national DSPs has good representativeness both in urban and rural areas. The estimation of country level should correct the proportions of urban area and rural to reflect the national level.

     

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