王曼, 李雷, 陈楚莹, 陈建海, 孙映梅, 汪涛. 2010-2014年广东省中山市吸毒人群HIV感染率及新发感染率分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2015, 30(10): 834-837. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2015.10.010
引用本文: 王曼, 李雷, 陈楚莹, 陈建海, 孙映梅, 汪涛. 2010-2014年广东省中山市吸毒人群HIV感染率及新发感染率分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2015, 30(10): 834-837. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2015.10.010
WANG Man, LI lei, CHEN Chu-ying, CHEN Jian-hai, SUN Ying-mei, WANG Tao. Prevalence and incidence of HIV infection among drug users in Zhongshan, Guangdong, 2010-2014[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2015, 30(10): 834-837. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2015.10.010
Citation: WANG Man, LI lei, CHEN Chu-ying, CHEN Jian-hai, SUN Ying-mei, WANG Tao. Prevalence and incidence of HIV infection among drug users in Zhongshan, Guangdong, 2010-2014[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2015, 30(10): 834-837. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2015.10.010

2010-2014年广东省中山市吸毒人群HIV感染率及新发感染率分析

Prevalence and incidence of HIV infection among drug users in Zhongshan, Guangdong, 2010-2014

  • 摘要: 目的 获得广东省中山市吸毒人群2010-2014年人类免疫缺陷病毒(human immunodeficiency virus, HIV)感染率变化趋势和新发感染率,评估吸毒人群HIV流行形势。方法 利用2010-2014年中山市强制戒毒所(戒毒所)全员HIV监测和哨点监测数据分析吸毒人群HIV感染率。采用Spectrum/EPP 模型、首次检测CD4+ T淋巴细胞计数及开放性队列,三种方法估计2010-2014年吸毒人群新发感染率。结果 2010-2014年,戒毒所全员监测HIV感染率分别为2.88%(52/1804)、3.33%(64/1920)、3.51%(62/1764)、3.40%(94/2765)和3.94%(86/2183),不同年份间HIV感染率差异无统计学意义(2=3.44,P=0.49)。2010-2014年哨点监测,注射吸毒人群HIV感染率分别为5.13%(12/234)、6.36%(18/283)、4.26%(12/282)、4.94%(12/243)和4.93%(10/203), 差异无统计学意义(2=1.36,P=0.85);非注射吸毒人群HIV感染率分别为1.81%(3/166)、1.13%(2/177)、 0.78%(1/129)、0.60%(1/166)和0.00%(0/197),差异无统计学意义(2=4.35,P=0.36)。2010-2014年新发感染率Spectrum/EPP 模型估计结果维持在0.23%左右;首次检测CD4+ T淋巴细胞计数估计最近一年新发感染率分别为0.28%、0.16%、0.29%、0.11%和0.10%,差异无统计学意义(2=3.83,P=0.43);1971例重复检测者组成的开发性队列,合计随访4473人年,4例出现HIV抗体阳转,HIV阳转率为0.09/100人年(95%CI:0.01~0.18/100人年)。结论 2010-2014年,中山市吸毒人群HIV感染率维持在5%以下,新发感染率维持在0.3%以下,处于低水平。

     

    Abstract: Objective To understand the prevalence and incidence of HIV infection among drug users in Zhongshan, Guangdong province, from 2010 to 2014, and provide evidence for the evaluation of HIV epidemic in this population.Methods The analysis was conducted by using the HIV test data in drug rehabilitation center in Zhongshan and HIV sentinel surveillance data in Zhongshan during this period. By Spectrum/EPP model estimation, first CD4+ T-cell count detection and open cohort study, the HIV incidence among the drug users was determined.Results From 2010 to 2014, the prevalence of HIV infection among the drug users in drug rehabilitation center were 2.88%(52/1804), 3.33%(64/1920), 3.51%(62/1764), 3.40%(94/2765) and 3.94%(86/2183) respectively, the differences were not statistical significant(2=3.44, P=0.49). According to the sentinel surveillance, the prevalence of HIV infection among injection drug users were 5.13%(12/234), 6.36%(18/283), 4.26%(12/282), 4.94%(12/243) and 4.93%(10/203) respectively, the differences were not statistical significant(2=1.36, P=0.85); while the prevalence of HIV infection among other drug users were 1.81%(3/166), 1.13%(2/177), 0.78%(1/129), 0.60%(1/166) and 0.00%(0/197) respectively, the differences were not statistical significant(2=4.35, P=0.36). According to the estimation of Spectrum/EPP model, the incidence of HIV infection among the drug users remained to be 0.23% approximately and based on the first CD4+ T-cell count detection, the incidence of HIV infection among the drug users were 0.28%, 0.16%, 0.29%, 0.11% and 0.10% respectively during this period,the differences were not statistical significant(2=3.83, P=0.43). Among 1971 drug users receiving repeat HIV test in the open cohort, 4473 person-years were followed with 4 drug users became HIV sero-conversion, the incidence of HIV infection was 0.09 per 100 person-years(95% CI: 0.01-0.18).Conclusion From 2010 to 2014, the prevalence of HIV infection among drug users remained to be less than 0.5% and the incidence of HIV infection among the drug users remained to be less than 0.3% in Zhongshan.

     

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