孟玲, 王亚丽, 王锐, 向妮娟, 李永红, 任婧寰, 牟笛, 袁媛, 涂文校, 洪志恒, 倪大新, 金连梅. 2016年7月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2016, 31(7): 536-539. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.07.003
引用本文: 孟玲, 王亚丽, 王锐, 向妮娟, 李永红, 任婧寰, 牟笛, 袁媛, 涂文校, 洪志恒, 倪大新, 金连梅. 2016年7月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2016, 31(7): 536-539. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.07.003
MENG Ling, WANG Ya-li, WANG Rui, XIANG Ni-juan, LI Yong-hong, REN Jing-huan, MU Di, YUAN Yuan, TU Wen-xiao, HONG Zhi-heng, NI Da-xin, JIN Lian-mei. Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, July 2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2016, 31(7): 536-539. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.07.003
Citation: MENG Ling, WANG Ya-li, WANG Rui, XIANG Ni-juan, LI Yong-hong, REN Jing-huan, MU Di, YUAN Yuan, TU Wen-xiao, HONG Zhi-heng, NI Da-xin, JIN Lian-mei. Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, July 2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2016, 31(7): 536-539. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.07.003

2016年7月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, July 2016

  • 摘要: 目的 评估2016年7月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果 根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往突发公共卫生事件发生情况及传染病流行特点分析,预计7月全国总报告事件数和病例数较6月将有所减少。近期我国仍有可能出现寨卡病毒病、黄热病、登革热、基孔肯雅热等蚊媒传播传染病的输入性病例,随着盛夏季节来临,登革热等虫媒传染病及霍乱等肠道传染病的流行强度会逐渐增强,部分省份可能出现本地暴发疫情。人感染禽流感疫情仍可能呈散发态势。同时,需继续关注中东地区中东呼吸综合征的疫情动态和输入风险。各地应密切关注灾害可能导致的次生、衍生公共卫生风险。此外,高温中暑、食物中毒事件也将有所增加。结论 2016年7月我国的突发公共卫生事件及传染病疫情发生态势与往年相似,较6月将有所减少;需关注寨卡病毒病、黄热病、登革热、基孔肯雅热等媒介伊蚊传染病、人感染禽流感等传染病疫情以及气象及自然灾害、高温中暑、食物中毒引发的公共卫生风险。

     

    Abstract: Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China in July 2016. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results According to the analysis of recent and previous surveillance data of communicable diseases and public health emergencies, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies or communicable diseases would be lower in July than in June 2016. The risk of importation of mosquito borne diseases, such as Zika virus infection, yellow fever, dengue and chikungunya, still exists. With the coming of midsummer, the incidences of insect borne infectious diseases, such as dengue, and enteric infectious diseases,such as cholera, would increase, and local outbreaks might occur in some provinces. The sporadic cases of human infection with avian influenza virus might still be reported in July. The risk of importation of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) from Saudi Arabia still exists. The secondary and derivative public health risk caused by natural disasters should not be neglected. The incidence of heat stroke and food poisoning might also increase. Conclusion The incidence of public health emergencies or communicable diseases would be lower in July than in June 2016, similar to the same period in previous years. Close attention should be paid to the public health risks caused by mosquito borne diseases, such as Zika virus infection, yellow fever, dengue and chikungunya, human infection with avian influenza virus, natural disasters, heat stroke and food poisoning.

     

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