胡文斌, 张婷, 秦威, 仝岚, 邱和泉, 金亦徐, 周杰, 史建国, 罗晓明. 1981-2014年江苏省昆山市全死因死亡率趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2016, 31(11): 962-967. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.11.017
引用本文: 胡文斌, 张婷, 秦威, 仝岚, 邱和泉, 金亦徐, 周杰, 史建国, 罗晓明. 1981-2014年江苏省昆山市全死因死亡率趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2016, 31(11): 962-967. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.11.017
HU Wen-bin, ZHANG Ting, QIN Wei, TONG Lan, QIU He-quan, JIN Yi-xu, ZHOU Jie, SHI Jian-guo, LUO Xiao-ming. Mortality trend and leading causes of death in Kunshan, Jiangsu, 1981-2014[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2016, 31(11): 962-967. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.11.017
Citation: HU Wen-bin, ZHANG Ting, QIN Wei, TONG Lan, QIU He-quan, JIN Yi-xu, ZHOU Jie, SHI Jian-guo, LUO Xiao-ming. Mortality trend and leading causes of death in Kunshan, Jiangsu, 1981-2014[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2016, 31(11): 962-967. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2016.11.017

1981-2014年江苏省昆山市全死因死亡率趋势分析

Mortality trend and leading causes of death in Kunshan, Jiangsu, 1981-2014

  • 摘要: 目的 探究江苏省昆山市1981-2014年全死因死亡率、平均期望寿命时间趋势及主要死因构成,为卫生部门循证决策提供依据。方法 历年全死因死亡病例来源于全死因监测,计算分性别的全死因死亡率和平均期望寿命,使用2000年全国人口普查年龄构成为标准计算年龄标化死亡率;使用年度变化百分比(APC)评价各个指标在年份之间变化趋势。结果 男女合计人群中全死因年龄标化死亡率由1981年的726.26/10万下降到2014年的258.40/10万(APC=-3.33%,95%CI:-3.54%~-3.12%);男性人群中由1981年的830.16/10万下降到2014年的289.30/10万(APC=-3.44%,95%CI:-3.68%~-3.20%);女性人群中由1981年的654.63/10万下降到2014年的226.40/10万(APC=-3.38%,95%CI:-3.60%~-3.16%)。男女合计人群平均期望寿命由1981年的69.67岁上升到2014年的82.26岁(APC=0.57%,95%CI:0.53%~0.61%)。恶性肿瘤(30.33%)、脑血管病(17.22%)、心血管病(9.09%)、呼吸系统疾病(15.30%)及损伤和中毒(8.08%)是当前影响居民死亡的主要原因。结论 昆山市1981-2014年全死因死亡率逐渐下降,平均期望寿命逐步提升,但恶性肿瘤、循环与呼吸系统疾病以及损伤与中毒仍是当前影响居民健康的主要原因。

     

    Abstract: Objective To understand the changes of all-cause mortality, including death cause constitute, and average expectancy life in residents in Kunshan, Jiangsu province during 1981-2014, and provide evidence for the decision making of health department. Methods The all-cause mortality data in Kunshan during this period were obtained from all-cause mortality surveillance system. The gender specific all-cause mortality and average life expectancy were calculated respectively, the age standardized all-cause mortality was calculated by using the data of national census in 2000, and the annual percentage changes (APC) of the data were estimated. Results The age standardized all-cause mortality decreased from 726.26/100 000 in 1981 to 258.40/100 000 in 2014 (APC:-3.33%, 95%CI:-3.54%--3.12%), and the gender specific all-cause mortality decrease from 830.16/100 000 to 289.30/100 000 in males (APC:-3.44%, 95%CI:-3.68%--3.20%)and from 654.63/100 000 to 226.40/100 000 in females (APC:-3.38%, 95%CI:-3.60%--3.16%)during this period. For contrast, the average life expectancy increased from 69.67 years to 82.26 years (APC:0.57%,95%CI:0.53%-0.61%). The major death causes included cancer (30.33%), cerebrovascular disease (17.22%), cardiovascular disease (9.09%), respiratory disease (15.30%) and injury/poisoning (8.08%). Conclusion The all-cause mortality decreased and average life expectancy increased in residents in Kunshan. Cancer, circulatory disease, respiratory disease and injury/poisoning were the leading health problems in local residents.

     

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