涂文校, 任瑞琦, 杨静, 李慧莹, 王霄晔, 王亚丽, 孟玲, 洪志恒, 向妮娟, 倪大新. 2017年2月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(2): 93-95. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.02.004
引用本文: 涂文校, 任瑞琦, 杨静, 李慧莹, 王霄晔, 王亚丽, 孟玲, 洪志恒, 向妮娟, 倪大新. 2017年2月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(2): 93-95. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.02.004
TU Wen-xiao, REN Rui-qi, YANG Jing, LI Hui-ying, WANG Xiao-ye, WANG Ya-li, MENG Ling, HONG Zhi-heng, XIANG Ni-juan, NI Da-xin. Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, February 2017[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(2): 93-95. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.02.004
Citation: TU Wen-xiao, REN Rui-qi, YANG Jing, LI Hui-ying, WANG Xiao-ye, WANG Ya-li, MENG Ling, HONG Zhi-heng, XIANG Ni-juan, NI Da-xin. Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, February 2017[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(2): 93-95. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.02.004

2017年2月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China, February 2017

  • 摘要: 目的 评估2017年2月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果 根据既往传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,预计2017年2月为全国总报告事件数较少的月份之一,主要以人感染禽流感、季节性流感、感染性腹泻病等传染病事件为主。人感染H7N9禽流感疫情仍呈现点多、面广的特点。季节性流感、病毒性腹泻等传染病暴发将在开学后出现季节性升高。寨卡病毒病输入我国的风险持续存在,但近期因输入病例引发本地蚊媒传播的风险极低。因燃煤取暖不当导致的非职业性一氧化碳中毒事件正处于高发时段。结论 预计2017年2月我国的突发公共卫生事件数相对较少;需重点关注人感染禽流感,一般关注季节性流感、诺如病毒病、非职业性一氧化碳中毒,了解寨卡病毒病所引发的公共卫生风险。

     

    Abstract: Objective To assess the risks of public health emergencies and communicable diseases concerned in the mainland of China in February 2017. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels,and the experts in provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results According to the analysis of recent and previous surveillance data of communicable diseases and public health emergencies, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies, mainly caused by human infected with avian influenza, seasonal influenza, and infectious diarrhea,would be low in February 2017.More sporadic cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus might occur in many areas. The outbreaks of seasonal influenza and infectious diarrhea would increase seasonally after school reopening. The risk of importation of Zika virus disease still exists, but the possibility of mosquito-borne transmission of Zika virus would be very low.In the households with coal fired heating, the risk of carbon monoxide poisoning would be still high. Conclusion The incidence of public health emergencies would below in February 2017 in China. Close attention should be paid to human infection with avian influenza virus; the prevention and control of seasonal influenza, norovirus disease, norovirus infection and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning should not be neglected; and the public health risk of Zika virus disease outbreak should be understood.

     

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