郑亚明, 杨娟. 2013-2015年我国手足口病死亡病例社会经济负担估计[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(6): 516-520. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.06.018
引用本文: 郑亚明, 杨娟. 2013-2015年我国手足口病死亡病例社会经济负担估计[J]. 疾病监测, 2017, 32(6): 516-520. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.06.018
ZHENG Ya-ming, YANG Juan. Estimation of social economic burden caused by fatal hand,foot and mouth disease cases in China,2013-2015[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(6): 516-520. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.06.018
Citation: ZHENG Ya-ming, YANG Juan. Estimation of social economic burden caused by fatal hand,foot and mouth disease cases in China,2013-2015[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2017, 32(6): 516-520. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2017.06.018

2013-2015年我国手足口病死亡病例社会经济负担估计

Estimation of social economic burden caused by fatal hand,foot and mouth disease cases in China,2013-2015

  • 摘要: 目的 了解2013-2015年我国手足口病死亡病例的社会经济负担。方法 应用人力资本法估计不同年龄组手足口病死亡病例早亡所导致的人均生产力损失(损失总收入的现值)。使用前期手足口病死亡病例治疗期间人均经济负担以及全国法定传染病报告的手足口病死亡病例信息,计算2013-2015年全国手足口病死亡病例社会经济负担,并采用不同贴现率对结果进行敏感性分析。结果 2013-2015年全国手足口病死亡病例数分别为252、501和129例,以男性为主,年龄以1~3岁为主。不同年龄组手足口病死亡病例的早亡所致生产力损失在55.1万~95.5万元之间,人均社会经济负担在56.5万~97.0万元之间。2013-2015年早亡总损失分别为14 491.9、31 159.1和8 316.7万元,社会经济负担分别为14 858.6、31 896.7和8 510.4万元。敏感性分析中,当贴现率设置为0时,2013-2015年早亡损失增长2.0倍,社会经济负担增长了2.0倍;当贴现率设置为5%时,2013-2015年早亡损失下降了47.2%,社会经济负担下降了46.1%。结论 手足口病所致死亡带来较重的社会经济损失,应采用疫苗等措施预防手足口病。

     

    Abstract: Objective To estimate the social economic burden caused by fatal hand,foot and mouth disease (HFMD) cases in China during 2013-2015.Methods The human capital approach was used in evaluating the lost productivity due to premature death (expressed as present value of lifetime earnings) caused by HFMD in different age groups.The social economic burden was calculated by using the expenditure data during treatment of fatal cases reported in previous study and related data reported through national notifiable communicable disease surveillance system during 2013-2015.In sensitivity analysis,different discount rates were used to analyze the social economic burden.Results There were 252,501 and 129 fatal HFMD cases reported in China during 2013-2015.Most cases were males and aged 1-3 years.The lost productivity due to fatal HFMD cases (stratified by age and gender) ranged from 551 to 955 thousand yuan (RMB) per case and the social economic burden was ranged from 565 to 970 thousand yuan (RMB) during 2013-2015.The overall lost productivity were 144.9,311.6 and 83.2 million yuan (RMB) and the social economic burden were 148.6,319.0,85.1 million yuan (RMB).The lost productivity and social economic burden increased by 2.0 times when the discount rate was 0 and decreased by 47.2% and 46.1% when the discount rate was 5%.Conclusion The economic burden caused by HFMD was heavy in China,it is necessary to take effective measure,such as vaccination,for the prevention and control of HFMD.

     

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