陈灿, 王虹玲, 张辉, 吴昺, 李鹏, 严剑波. 2009-2016年舟山海岛地区手足口病时空聚集性及病原谱变化分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(1): 45-49. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.01.011
引用本文: 陈灿, 王虹玲, 张辉, 吴昺, 李鹏, 严剑波. 2009-2016年舟山海岛地区手足口病时空聚集性及病原谱变化分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(1): 45-49. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.01.011
Chen Can, Wang Hongling, Zhang Hui, Wu Bing, Li Peng, Yan Jianbo. Spatial-temporal clustering and pathogen spectrum change of hand,foot and mouth disease in Zhoushan islands, Zhejiang,2009-2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(1): 45-49. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.01.011
Citation: Chen Can, Wang Hongling, Zhang Hui, Wu Bing, Li Peng, Yan Jianbo. Spatial-temporal clustering and pathogen spectrum change of hand,foot and mouth disease in Zhoushan islands, Zhejiang,2009-2016[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(1): 45-49. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.01.011

2009-2016年舟山海岛地区手足口病时空聚集性及病原谱变化分析

Spatial-temporal clustering and pathogen spectrum change of hand,foot and mouth disease in Zhoushan islands, Zhejiang,2009-2016

  • 摘要: 目的 分析浙江省舟山海岛地区手足口病的时空聚集性及病原谱的动态变化,为制定手足口病防控策略提供科学依据。方法 从中国疾病监测信息报告系统获取手足口病病例及实验室检测结果数据,用描述性流行病学方法分析流行病学特征,用时空扫描统计量探测手足口病的时空聚集性。结果 2009-2016年舟山海岛地区累计报告手足口病3 566例,年均发病率为39.04/10万,发病主高峰在4-7月,次高峰在10-12月,病例多集中在1~3岁年龄组,主要发病人群为散居儿童。2009-2016年舟山海岛地区手足口病主要聚集在定海区、普陀区和岱山县,聚集时间为6-7月。不同年份病原谱构成不同,2009-2011年以肠道病毒71型(EV71)为绝对优势致病原,2012-2016年由柯萨奇病毒A组16型(Cox A16)和柯萨奇病毒A组6型(Cox A6)交替流行,2013、2015-2016年Cox A6为优势致病原。结论 舟山海岛地区手足口病疫情呈现一定的三间分布特征及时空聚集性。优势致病原有转变为Cox A6的趋势。应加强重点人群、高发季节、区域防控工作,开展多种手足口病病原监测,及时发现优势致病原转变。

     

    Abstract: Objective To analyze the spatial-temporal clustering and pathogen spectrum dynamic change of hand foot and mouth disease(HFMD)in Zhoushan islands,Zhejiang province,and provide evidence for the local prevention and control of HFMD. Methods The incidence data of HFMD and related laboratory test results were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Descriptive epidemiological analysis was conducted and spatial-temporal scan statistic method was used to describe the spatial-temporal clustering of HFMD. Results A total of 3 566 HFMD cases were reported in Zhoushan islands during 2009-2016,with an average annual incidence of 39.04/100 000,the annual incidence peak was during April-July. Most cases occurred in age group 1-3 years,and children outside child care settings were at high-risk. During 2009-2016,three HFMD clustering areas were identified,i.e. Dinghai,Putuo and Daishan,and the clustering time was from June to July. The pathogen spectrum differed with year,EV71 was predominant during 2009-2011,Cox A6 and Cox A16 circulated alternatively during 2012-2016,and Cox A6 was predominant in 2013 and during 2015-2016. Conclusion Three dimensons distribution and spatial-temporal clustering of HFMD were observed in Zhoushan islands, Cox A6 had become the predominant pathogen gradually. It is necessary to conduct population,season and area specific prevention and control of HFMD and strengthen the etiological surveillance for the timely detection of the predominant pathogen of HFMD.

     

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