牛艳, 涂文校, 宋洋, 王富珍, 李建东, 黄晓霞, 王霄晔, 任婧寰, 孟玲, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2021年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(6): 517-520. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106140359
引用本文: 牛艳, 涂文校, 宋洋, 王富珍, 李建东, 黄晓霞, 王霄晔, 任婧寰, 孟玲, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2021年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(6): 517-520. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106140359
Niu Yan, Tu Wenxiao, Song Yang, Wang Fuzhen, Li Jiandong, Huang Xiaoxia, Wang Xiaoye, Ren Jinghuan, Meng Ling, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(6): 517-520. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106140359
Citation: Niu Yan, Tu Wenxiao, Song Yang, Wang Fuzhen, Li Jiandong, Huang Xiaoxia, Wang Xiaoye, Ren Jinghuan, Meng Ling, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(6): 517-520. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202106140359

2021年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2021

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2021年6月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法  根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
      结果  总体上,预计6月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将与5月相当。 我国境内发生新型冠状病毒境外输入及续发本地传播风险持续存在,但在可控范围内。 发热伴血小板减少综合征处于高峰期,病例仍将以散发为主,存在发生聚集性疫情的风险,尤其是既往高发地区。 有毒动植物及毒蘑菇食物中毒事件将明显增加,微生物性食物中毒处于高发期。 云南、青海等地震灾区应进一步加强灾后卫生防疫工作,气象部门预测的洪涝灾区需关注灾后可能导致的水源性、食源性和媒介传染病上升的风险。
      结论  需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对发热伴血小板减少综合征、食物中毒和自然灾害予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in June 2021.
      Methods  An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
      Results  Generally speaking, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would be similar in June with May. The risk of imported cases and secondary infections of COVID-19 would continue to exist, but would be controllable. It is the high incidence season of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and most cases would be sporadic, however, the risk of cluster exits especially in previous epidemic areas. The incidences of food poisoning caused by toxic animal or plant or poisonous mushroom would increase significantly, and the incidences of food poisoning caused by microbe would be high. The earthquake-stricken areas such as Yunnan and Qinghai should further strengthen post-disaster public health responses. The potential flood-stricken areas predicted by the meteorological department need to pay attention to the risks of water-borne, food-borne and vector-borne diseases that may increase after the disaster.
      Conclusion  Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome, food poisoning and natural disaster.

     

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