孟玲, 涂文校, 冯晔囡, 吴丹, 刘凤凤, 王霄晔, 任婧寰, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2021年7月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(7): 641-644. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202107210413
引用本文: 孟玲, 涂文校, 冯晔囡, 吴丹, 刘凤凤, 王霄晔, 任婧寰, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2021年7月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(7): 641-644. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202107210413
Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Feng Yenan, Wu Dan, Liu Fengfeng, Wang Xiaoye, Ren Jinghuan, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, July 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(7): 641-644. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202107210413
Citation: Meng Ling, Tu Wenxiao, Feng Yenan, Wu Dan, Liu Fengfeng, Wang Xiaoye, Ren Jinghuan, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, July 2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(7): 641-644. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202107210413

2021年7月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, July 2021

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2021年7月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法  根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
      结果  总体上,预计7月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将较6月下降。 我国境内发生新型冠状病毒境外输入及续发本地传播风险持续存在,但在可控范围内。 霍乱处于高发季节,仍会出现散发病例,不排除出现聚集性或暴发疫情的可能。 高温中暑处于高发月份。 气象部门预测的洪涝灾区需要关注灾后可能导致的水源性、食源性和媒介传染病上升的风险。
      结论  需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对霍乱、高温中暑和自然灾害予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in July 2021.
      Methods  An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
      Results  Generally speaking, it is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would be lower in July than June. The risk of imported cases and secondary infections of COVID-19 would continue to exist, but would be controllable. It is the high incidence season of cholera. Sporadic cases of cholera might still occur and the possibility of cluster and outbreak cannot be ruled out. Heat stroke at high temperature would be at high-incidence season. The potential flood-stricken areas predicted by the meteorological department need to pay attention to the risks of water-borne, food-borne and vector-borne diseases that may increase after the disaster.
      Conclusion  Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to cholera, heat stroke at high temperature and natural disaster.

     

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