宫晨, 韩姗珊, 邓革红, 唐洁霞, 覃奕, 杨继. 2016-2021年广西壮族自治区手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(11): 1436-1441. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202204220167
引用本文: 宫晨, 韩姗珊, 邓革红, 唐洁霞, 覃奕, 杨继. 2016-2021年广西壮族自治区手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(11): 1436-1441. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202204220167
Gong Chen, Han Shanshan, Deng Gehong, Tang Jiexia, Qin Yi, Yang Ji. Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hand foot and mouth disease in Guangxi, 2016−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(11): 1436-1441. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202204220167
Citation: Gong Chen, Han Shanshan, Deng Gehong, Tang Jiexia, Qin Yi, Yang Ji. Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hand foot and mouth disease in Guangxi, 2016−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(11): 1436-1441. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202204220167

2016-2021年广西壮族自治区手足口病流行特征及时空聚集性分析

Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hand foot and mouth disease in Guangxi, 2016−2021

  • 摘要:
      目的   分析2016—2021年广西壮族自治区(广西)手足口病的流行特征及时空变化规律,为手足口病防控提供依据。
      方法   手足口病数据来源于中国疾病预防控制信息系统,地理信息数据来源于中国疾病预防控制中心。采用ArcGIS 10.5软件进行可视化制图及空间自相关分析,SaTScan 9.3软件进行时空扫描统计分析。
      结果   2016—2021年广西累计报告手足口病发病1 174 847例,发病以5岁以下儿童为主(91.36%),男女性别发病数比为1.46∶l。 2016—2021年手足口病发病在县(区)级水平存在空间正相关(Moran's I为0.18~0.35,P<0.01);高–高聚集区主要发生在南宁市、柳州市及其周边县(区),且与高发病率区域一致。 时空扫描结果显示,发病主要聚集在4—10月;Ⅰ类聚集区分别出现在以南宁市、柳州市、河池市为中心的广西中部地区和以防城港市为中心的广西南部地区;Ⅱ类聚集区多位于广西东部。
      结论   广西手足口病发病呈现较明显的时空聚集性,中部和南部地区聚集性高,需重点防控。此外,在疫情高发期也应注重广西东部地区的防控。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analysis the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hand-foot -mouth disease (HFMD) in Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region from 2016 to 2021, and provide evidence for HFMD prevention and control.
      Methods  The incidence data of HFMD in Guangxi during this period were collected from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, and the geographic information were from Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Software ArcGIS 10.5 was used to analysis spatial auto correlation analysis and visual mapping of HFMD. Software SaTScan 9.3 was used to conduct for scanning the areas with spatiotemporal- clustering.
      Results  A total of 1 174 847 HFMD cases were reported in Guangxi from 2016 to 2021. The cases in children under 5 years old accounted for 91.36% of the total cases. The male to female ratio of the cases was 1.46∶l. The incidence of HFMD showed a positive spatial auto correlation (Moran's I was between 0.18 to 0.35, P<0.01). The “high-high clustering” was mainly in Nanning, Liuzhou and surrounding areas, consistent with high incidence areas. The results from spatiotemporal scanning showed that the temporal clustering of HFMD occurred from April to October. The type Ⅰ clustering areas were in the counties of Nanning, Liuzhou, Hechi and Fangchenggang, covering the central area and southern area of Guangxi. While the type Ⅱ clustering areas were mainly distributed in the east area of Guangxi.
      Conclusion  Significant spatiotemporal distribution of HFMD were found in Guangxi. The HFMD prevention and control measure should be strengthened in the central area and southern area of Guangxi, and in eastern area of Guangxi during epidemic period.

     

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