我国猴痘疫情输入和本地传播风险评估

王亚丽; 黎丹; 任瑞琦; 李超; 周蕾; 李群; 施国庆

doi:10.3784/jbjc.202209220418

我国猴痘疫情输入和本地传播风险评估

Risk assessment of mpox epidemic importation and local transmission in China

摘要

摘要:
目的评估2022年全球猴痘疫情对我国的输入和本地传播风险。
方法根据世界卫生组织等官网通报和相关文献，依据猴痘疾病特征和全球疫情等进行综合分析和评估。
结果猴痘输入我国的风险仍然很大，存在男男同性性行为人群本地传播可能，但在我国普通人群中大规模传播的可能性极低。
结论针对我国面临的猴痘输入风险，在加强入境人员检疫的同时，要加强对入境人员和男男同性性行为人员等重点人群的宣传教育以及各级医疗机构的培训，确保疫情早发现，早处置，降低本地传播风险。

Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of importation and local transmission of the global monkeypox(mpox) epidemic into China in 2022.
Methods According to World Health Organization and other official website notification and related literature, comprehensively analyse and assess risk of importation and local transmission in China based on the characteristics of mpox and the global epidemic situation.
Results The risk of mpox imported into China is still very high, and there is the possibility of local transmission in men who have sex with men(MSM), but the risk of large-scale spread in the general population is very low.
Conclusion In view of the importation risk of mpox into China, while strengthening the quarantine of inbound personnel, the publicity and education of inbound personnel and other key groups, as well as the training of medical institutions at all levels, so as to ensure the early detection and disposal of the epidemic and reduce the risk of local transmission in China.

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