杜珊珊, 邓雪飞, 黄晓霞, 李阿茜, 王芹, 李川, 冯云, 李建东. 2004-2021年云南省肾综合征出血热流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(11): 1357-1362. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305040193
引用本文: 杜珊珊, 邓雪飞, 黄晓霞, 李阿茜, 王芹, 李川, 冯云, 李建东. 2004-2021年云南省肾综合征出血热流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(11): 1357-1362. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305040193
Du Shanshan, Deng Xuefei, Huang Xiaoxia, Li Aqian, Wang Qin, Li Chuan, Feng Yun, Li Jiandong. Epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Yunnan, 2004−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(11): 1357-1362. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305040193
Citation: Du Shanshan, Deng Xuefei, Huang Xiaoxia, Li Aqian, Wang Qin, Li Chuan, Feng Yun, Li Jiandong. Epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Yunnan, 2004−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(11): 1357-1362. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305040193

2004-2021年云南省肾综合征出血热流行特征分析

Epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Yunnan, 2004−2021

  • 摘要:
      目的  对2004—2021年云南省肾综合征出血热(HFRS)报告病例进行流行病学分析,了解HFRS流行特征。
      方法  从国家法定传染病监测系统获得了2004—2021年云南省HFRS报告病例数据,采用描述性流行病学方法对全省2004—2021年HFRS时间、地区和人群分布和诊断类别资料进行统计分析,并以县级为单位进行空间聚集分析。
      结果  2004—2021年全省共报告HFRS病例2556例,年均发病率为0.30 /10万,死亡病例17例,病死率为0.67%;每年主要以3 — 8月(春夏季)为发病高峰,70.81%患者为男性,16~60岁患者占76.72%,77.11%病例为农民;全局空间自相关分析Moran's I系数0.010~0.319,仅2011—2021年有相关性(P<0.05),高−高聚集区主要集中在大理白族自治州、楚雄彝族自治州和丽江市,实验室确诊病例和病死率存在较强的负相关(r=−0.720,P=0.019),疑似病例和病死率存在较强的正相关(r=0.649,P=0.042),报告病例数少的地区病死率高。
      结论  云南省HFRS在2012—2021年间处于相对高发期,波及地理范围有扩大趋势,但仍呈现明显的时空聚集特征,累及人群逐渐向高龄人群偏移,应推动高发地区落实综合防控措施,提高病例诊断与实验室检测能力。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To understand the epidemiological characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Yunnan province from 2004 to 2021.
      Methods  The incidence data of HFRS reported in Yunnan from 2004 to 2021 were obtained from National Notifiable Infectious Diseases Surveillance System for a descriptive epidemiological analysis on the time, area and population distributions of HFRS, and classification of the cases. The spatiotemporal clustering analysis was carried out at county level in the province.
      Results  From 2004 to 2021, a total of 2556 HFRS cases, including 17 deaths, were reported in Yunnan, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.30/100 000 and a case fatality rate of 0.67%. The annual incidence peaked during March-August (spring and summer), Up to 70.81% of the cases were men, 76.72% were aged 16–60 years, and 77.11% were farmers. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the Moran's I coefficient ranged from 0.010 to 0.319, and only the cases reported during 2011–2021 showed a significant correlation (P<0.05). High-high clustering areas were mainly in Dali, Chuxiong and Lijiang. In addition, there was a strong negative correlation between the laboratory-confirmed cases and the case fatality rate (r=−0.72, P=0.019), and there was a strong positive correlation between the suspected cases and the case fatality rate (r=0.649, P=0.042), and the case fatality rate was high in areas with less cases.
      Conclusion  The incidence of HFRS in Yunnan reached a relative high level during 2012–2021, the affected areas expanded with obvious spatiotemporal clustering. Population affected became older gradually. It is necessary to promote the implementation of comprehensive prevention and control measures in high-risk areas and improve the cases diagnosis and laboratory testing.

     

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