Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,February 2018

Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies,both indigenous ones and imported ones,which might occur in the mainland of China in February 2018. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels,and the experts in all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results According to the analysis of recent and previous surveillance data of communicable diseases and public health emergencies,it is predicted that the public health emergencies in February would be mainly communicable disease epidemics,such as seasonal influenza,human infection with avian influenza virus and viral diarrhoea. The activity of seasonal influenza would still be at high level,but the downtrend has been observed. The sporadic cases of human infection with H7N9 or other avian influenza viruses and viral diarrhea outbreaks caused by norovirus and other enteroviruses might continue to occur. It is still the high incidence season of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning. Conclusion It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would decline in China in February 2018. Close attention should be paid to seasonal influenza and human infection with avian influenza viruses,and attention should be paid to the outbreaks of viral diarrhoea and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning.