Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Liang Zuoru, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in June 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(7): 874-878. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202207090328
Citation: Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Liang Zuoru, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in June 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(7): 874-878. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202207090328

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in June 2022

  •   Objective   To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) in June 2022 and the risk of importation.
      Methods   According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by Johns Hopkins University, combined with the policy stringency index published by the University of Oxford, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in WHO regions and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and prevention and control policies in 14 neighboring countries. The assessment results for each country are expressed as “countries of global concern”, “countries of the general concern in each WHO sub-region” and “neighboring countries of special concern”.
      Results  Compared with May 2022, the global monthly new confirmed cases rose by 10.1%, and the global monthly new deaths dropped by 17.3%. Compared with May, except for the decrease in the Western Pacific region and Africa region, the new confirmed cases in June all increased, ranging from 20.4% to 219.7%, with the largest rise in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Except for the increase in the Eastern Mediterranean region, the Western Pacific region and the Americas (South) region, the number of new deaths decreased in other regions, ranging from 12.1% to 50.5%, with the largest decline in South-east Asia region. Germany, France, Brazil and the United Kingdom were countries with global concern. India and Afghanistan were land-boarding countries with special concern.
      Conclusion   The global daily newly confirmed cases showed an upward trend, while the deaths showed an downward trend in June. The epidemic situation in the Eastern Mediterranean and Americas (South) region is still aggravating, with the number of newly confirmed cases and deaths both increasing, which should be paid special attention to, timely communicate and adjusted measures.
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