Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province, the same below) in February 2024.
Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) centers for disease control and prevention were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in February 2024 would be lower than that in January 2024. The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases such as respiratory infectious diseases including COVID-19 and influenza. The national epidemic of COVID-19 in China would continue to rise, with a relatively high incidence expected in February and March. JN.1 variant of COVID-19 has become the dominant epidemic strain. Influenza epidemics are on the decline, and the downward trend would keep on till a low level in February. In January, a case of mixed infection of seasonal H3N2 and avian H10N5 viruses was reported in Zhejiang province. The H10N5 virus gene sequence analysis showed that the virus was avian origin, which signified low public health risk. Relevant measures should be taken on respiratory infectious diseases monitoring and prevention and control in Wushi county, the earthquake-stricken area of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.
Conclusion Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to influenza, human infection with avian influenza virus, and public health risks after the earthquake in Wushi county of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.
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