2014-2024年浙江省金华市其他感染性腹泻病流行特征分析

Analysis on epidemiological characteristics of other infectious diarrhea in Jinhua, Zhejiang, 2014 2024

  • 摘要:
    目的  分析2014—2024年浙江省金华市其他感染性腹泻病(OID)流行特征,为制定防控策略提供依据。
    方法  采用描述流行病学方法和Joinpoint回归,对来自中国疾病预防控制信息系统的OID疫情资料进行分析。
    结果  2014—2024年金华市共报告OID 65 746例,年均发病率为97.99/10万。不同年度间OID流行高峰出现的频次和时间有所不同,2014—2020年呈冬季和夏季双高峰,2021年无明显季节高峰,2022—2023年为春季单一高峰,2024年为春季和冬季双高峰。 金华市年均发病率最高的县(市、区)是永康市(243.30/10万),报告病例数占总体的1/3;2014—2024年磐安县发病率呈下降趋势(AAPC=−11.25%,P=0.006),而兰溪市、义乌市和东阳市则呈上升趋势(均P<0.05)。 男、女性年均发病率分别为107.45/10万、87.64/10万,性别比为1.23∶1。0~岁年龄组发病率最高(1 165.99/10万),其次是5~岁年龄组(134.13/10万);2014—2024年5~<25岁各年龄组发病率呈上升趋势(均AAPC>0,均P<0.05),而40~<60岁及65~岁年龄组则呈下降趋势(均AAPC<0,均P<0.05)。 职业分布以散居儿童、农民、学生、幼托儿童为主,分别占52.44%、19.15%、10.54%、5.89%。 病原构成主要为轮状病毒、诺如病毒和沙门菌,分别占49.31%、29.06%和14.94%。
    结论  2014—2024年金华市OID发病低于浙江省平均水平,但个别县(市、区)明显高发。应将儿童作为重点防控人群,加强轮状病毒疫苗接种并采取综合性防控措施,从而有效控制OID流行。 现有OID病原谱监测结果代表性差,应设立腹泻病监测哨点,开展门急诊腹泻病就诊百分比报告、腹泻病标本多病原检测工作。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics of other infectious diarrhea (OID) in Jinhua , Zhejiang province, from 2014 to 2024 and provide evidence for the development of prevention and control strategies.
    Methods Descriptive epidemiological methods and Joinpoint regression model were used to analyze the incidence data of OID obtained from Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System.
    Results A total of 65 746 OID cases were reported in Jinhua from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence rate of 97.99/100 000. Annual variations were observed in the frequency of OID incidence peak. From 2014 to 2020, 2 incidence peaks occurred in winter and summer annually except 2021; but the incidence peak spring was only observed during 2022−2023; and 2 peaks occurred in spring and winter in 2024. The county (district) with the highest average annual incidence rate of OID in Jinhua was Yongkang (243.30/100 000), with the cases accounting for one-third of the total. From 2014 to 2024, the incidence rate in Pan'an showed a decreasing trend (AAPC = −11.25%, P = 0.006), while the incidence rate in Lanxi, Yiwu and Dongyang exhibited increasing trends ( all P < 0.05). The average annual incidence rates in men and women were 107.45 and 87.64/100 000, respectively, with a sex ratio of 1.23∶1. The highest incidence rate was observed in age group 0-4 years (1 165.99/100 000), followed by age group 5−9 years (134.13/100 000). From 2014 to 2024, the incidence rates in all the age groups from 5 to <25 years showed increasing trends (all AAPC > 0, all P < 0.05), while the incidence rate in age groups 40 - <60 years and ≥65 years exhibited decreasing trends (all AAPC < 0, all P < 0.05). In terms of population distribution, the cases were mainly home-cared children, farmers, students, and children in child care settings, accounting for 52.44%, 19.15%, 10.54%, and 5.89%, respectively. The pathogens were mainly rotavirus, norovirus, and Salmonella, comprising 49.31%, 29.06%, and 14.94%, respectively.
    Conclusion The incidence of OID in Jinhua during 2014 - 2024 was lower than the provincial average in Zhejiang. However, several counties (district) showed significantly higher incidence. Children should be prioritized as key populations for prevention and control of OID . Improved rotavirus vaccination and comprehensive prevention could effectively control the incidence of OID. Currently, the etiological surveillance results of OID are not fuully representative. Therefore, it is suggested to establish sentinel hospitals for diarrhea surveillance, report the percentage of outpatient/emergency diarrhea visits and conduct multi-pathogen testing of diarrhea specimens to improve the surveillance system.

     

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