2020-2023年中国糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率时空分布特征

Spatiotemporal distribution of active screening detection rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in diabetes mellitus patients, China, 2020-2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 描述2020-2023年中国糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率的时间变化趋势和时空分布特征,识别糖尿病人群主动筛查肺结核病例的聚集时间和地区,为今后糖尿病人群中肺结核主动筛查及防控提供参考依据。
    方法 收集2020-2023年我国糖尿病人群肺结核主动筛查数据,采用Joinpoint5.4.0软件对糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率进行时间趋势分析,使用R4.3.3软件的spdep包进行空间自相关分析,采用SaTScan10.3.2软件进行时空扫描分析。
    结果 2020-2023年全国糖尿病患者进行了共293 856 968人次肺结核症状筛查,58 743例确诊肺结核,检出率为19.99/10万。2020-2023年糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率由36.25/10万下降至12.36/10万,年均变化百分比为−31.56%(95%CI:−22.62%~−40.01%),检出率下降趋势有统计学意义(P<0.001)。专题地图显示糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率呈现西北及东北部地区高、东南地区低的特征。全局空间自相关分析发现,2023年全国糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率为非随机分布,呈显著的空间正自相关(Moran's I=0.24,Z=3.028,P=0.001)。局部空间自相关分析显示,2020-2023年糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出患者在西北、东北地区(青海省、西藏自治区、新疆维吾尔自治区、辽宁省)处于高−高聚集区。时空扫描分析在全国探测到4个时空聚集区,一类聚集区以湖南省为中心,共涉及10个省,聚集时间为2020-2021年相对危险度(RR)=3.40,对数似然比(LLR)=8 338.08,P<0.001。二类聚集区有2个,其中1个以辽宁省为中心,涉及吉林省,聚集时间为2020-2021年(RR=8.42,LLR=2 870.75,P<0.001),另一个以新疆维吾尔自治区为中心,涉及西藏自治区,聚集时间为2020-2021年(RR=7.82,LLR=2 112.43,P<0.001)。三类聚集区只涉及山东省,聚集时间为2020年(RR=1.32,LLR=29.44,P<0.001)。
    结论 我国糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率逐年下降。西北、东北地区糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率较高,且存在高值聚集,东南地区糖尿病患者肺结核主动筛查检出率不高但周围区域近似,未来应针对高发区糖尿病人群加强肺结核健康教育和筛查力度。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To describe the the temporal changing trend and spatiotemporal distribution of the active screening detection rate of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in diabetes mellitus patients in China from 2020 to 2023, to identify the clustering time and area of pulmonary TB cases in the active screening in diabetes mellitus patients, and to provide reference for the active screening, prevention and control of pulmonary TB in the diabetes mellitus patients in the future.
    Methods Active screening data of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients in China from 2020 to 2023 were collected. Software Joinpoint 5.4.0 was used to conduct temporal trend analysis of the detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients, the package spdep of software R 4.3.3 was used to conduct spatial auto-correlation analysis and software SaTScan 10.3.2 were used to conduct spatiotemporal scanning.
    Results A total of 293 856 968 visits of pulmonary TB symptoms detections in diabetes mellitus patients were conducted from 2020 to 2023, in which 58 743 diabetes mellitus patients were diagnosed with pulmonary TB, with a rate of 19.99/100 000. The detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients decreased from 36.25/100 000 to 12.36/100 000 from 2020 to 2023, with an average annual change percentage of −31.56% (95% CI: −22.62% to −40.01%), showed a significant downward trend (P<0.001). The thematic map showed that the detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients was higher in northwestern and northeastern while lower in southeastern China. Global spatial auto-correlation analysis revealed the detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients was not randomly distributed in China in 2023, showing a significant positive spatial auto-correlation (Moran's I=0.24, Z=3.028, P=0.001). Local spatial auto-correlation analysis showed that pulmonary TB cases in diabetes mellitus patients were distributed in the high-high clustering areas in northwestern and northeastern China (Qinghai Province, Xizang Autonomous Region, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, and Liaoning Province). Spatiotemporal scanning analysis detected four spatiotemporal clustering areas in China. The primary clustering area was mainly in Hunan Province, involving a total of 10 provinces, from 2020 to 2021 relative risk (RR)=3.40, log-likelihood ratio (LLR)= 8 338.08, P<0.001. There are two secondary clustering areas, one was in Liaoning Province and Jilin Province from 2020 to 2021 (RR=8.42, LLR=2 870.75, P<0.001), another one was in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Xizang Autonomous Region from 2020 to 2021 (RR=7.82, LLR=2 112.43, P<0.001). The third clustering area was in Shandong Province in 2020 (RR=1.32, LLR=29.44, P<0.001).
    Conclusion The detection rate of pulmonary TB in active screening in diabetes mellitus patients in China decreased year by year. The detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients was relatively high in northwestern and northeastern China, and there was a high level clustering. The detection rate of pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients in southeastern China was not high, but similar to the surrounding areas. In the future, efforts should be focused on strengthening health education and screening programs for pulmonary TB in diabetes mellitus patients in areas with high incidence of pulmonary TB.

     

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