2017-2023年浙江省杭州市流动与本地学生肺结核患者延迟就医情况及影响因素分析

Delayed medical care of pulmonary tuberculosis cases and associated factors in migrant and local students in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 2017 - 2023

  • 摘要:
    目的  探讨浙江省杭州市流动与本地学生肺结核(pulmonary tuberculosis,PTB)患者延迟就医(DMCT)的流行特征及其影响因素,为学校结核病精准防控提供依据。
    方法  收集2017年1月至2023年12月杭州市14家结核病定点医院登记收治并完成结案的学生PTB病例资料。依据户籍地与现居住地是否为杭州市分为流动学生与本地学生。以是否发生DMCT(≥14 d)为因变量,描述两组DMCT发生水平及其时间、空间分布特征,并采用多因素logistic回归分析其影响因素。
    结果  共纳入学生PTB病例1 608例,其中流动学生594例,本地学生1 014例。流动学生DMCT发生率为45.45%(270/594),显著高于本地学生的31.46%(319/1 014)(χ2=31.606,P<0.001),且年际波动幅度更大。按教育阶段分层分析显示,在中小学阶段,流动学生与本地学生DMCT发生率分别为29.34%(76/259)和29.20%(165/565),差异无统计学意义(χ2=0.002,P=0.967);而在大学阶段,流动学生DMCT发生率为57.91%(194/335),显著高于本地学生的34.30%(154/449),差异有统计学意义(χ2=43.332,P<0.001)。2017-2023年,两组学生DMCT发生率呈不同时间变化趋势,并于2019年和2021年出现两次交叉。空间分布分析显示,流动学生DMCT空间异质性较强,高发区域主要集中于主城区;本地学生空间差异相对较小,但总体呈逐年升高并向主城区集聚趋势。多因素logistic回归分析显示,流动学生中病例发现方式(OR=2.05,95%CI:1.47~2.86)和病原学诊断结果(OR=0.67,95%CI:0.48~0.94)为DMCT的独立影响因素;本地学生中病例发现方式(OR=1.58,95%CI:1.21~2.07)和胸部影像学结果(OR=0.55,95%CI:0.42~0.73)为独立影响因素。
    结论  杭州市学生PTB患者DMCT在流动与本地学生之间存在显著差异,并呈现明显时空及教育阶段异质性,大学阶段流动学生为差异的主要贡献人群。应结合学生流动属性、教育阶段特征及社会情境变化,实施分层分类干预策略,以提升学校结核病防控的精准性与效率。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of delayed medical care of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) cases and associated factors in migrant and local students in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, and provide evidence for the precision prevention and control of pulmonary TB in schools.
    Methods The complete records of student pulmonary TB cases registered, treated in 14 designated tuberculosis hospitals in Hangzhou between January 2017 and December 2023 were collected. The students were classified as migrant or local ones according to whether their household registration and current residence were located in Hangzhou. The incidence of delayed medical care of pulmonary TB cases (≥14 days) was defined as the dependent variable. The incidence, temporal trends, and spatial distribution of delayed medical care were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the associated factors.
    Results A total of 1 608 pulmonary TB cases in students were included, including 594 cases in migrant students and 1 014 cases in local students. The overall rate of delayed medical care was 45.45% in migrant students (270/594), significantly higher than that in local students (31.46%, 319/1014) (χ2=31.606, P<0.001), and greater annual fluctuation was observed in the migrant group. Stratified by educational stage, no significant difference in the incidence of delayed medical care was observed between migrant students (29.34%, 76/259) and local students (29.20%, 165/565) at the primary and secondary school level (χ2=0.002, P=0.967). In contrast, at the university level, migrant students (57.91%, 194/335) had a significantly higher incidence of delayed medical care compared with local students (34.30%, 154/449) (χ2=43.332, P<0.001). From 2017 to 2023, the temporal trends in the incidence of delayed medical care differed between the two groups, with the incidence curves intersecting twice, in 2019 and 2021. Spatial analysis revealed stronger spatial heterogeneity of delayed medical care in migrant students, with high-incidence mainly occurring in central urban area. In contrast, local students showed relatively smaller spatial variation, but an overall increasing trend with gradual clustering toward central urban area. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that, in migrant students, case-finding method (OR=2.05, 95% CI: 1.47-2.86) and bacteriological diagnostic results (OR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.48-0.94) were independent factors associated with delayed medical care. In local students, case-finding method (OR=1.58, 95% CI: 1.21-2.07) and chest radiographic findings (OR=0.55, 95% CI: 0.42-0.73) were independent influencing factors.
    Conclusion Significant differences in the incidence of delayed medical care of pulmonary TB cases were observed between migrant students and local student pulmonary TB in Hangzhou, with marked temporal, spatial, and educational-stage heterogeneity. Migrant university students were the primary contributors to this disparity. Stratified intervention strategies targetting the floating status, educational-stage characteristics, and changing social contexts of the students are needed to improve the precision and effectiveness of school-based TB prevention and control.

     

/

返回文章
返回