2005-2025年河南省人间布鲁氏菌病流行病学特征分析

Epidemiological characteristics of human brucellosis in Henan, 2005–2025

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析河南省布鲁氏菌病(布病)流行病学特征和诊断情况,为制定布病防治策略提供依据。
    方法 从“中国疾病预防控制信息系统”收集2005-2025年河南省布病报告病例数据,采用描述性流行病学方法对病例资料进行分析,采用Joinpoint回归分析发病率随时间变化趋势,使用Arcgis 10.7软件描述病例空间分布特征,分析空间聚集性。
    结果 2005-2025年河南省共报告布病病例57795例,年均报告发病率2.90/10万,发病整体呈现上升趋势(平均年度变化百分比=16.38%,95%置信区间:14.76%~19.09%,P<0.001),2015和2022年出现2个发病高峰,之后处于下降阶段。发病具有明显的季节性,高发期为每年3-8月,报告病例男女性别比为2.46∶1.00,以农民(占比84.35%)和40-<70岁年龄组(占比70.03%)为主,线性拟合显示患者年龄中位数每年增加0.66岁。时空分析结果显示,2005年河南省布病报告病例主要分布在河南省中部和西北部,随后向中部和南部扩散,并向东部蔓延,2025年已波及所有县(区);高-高聚集区从河南北部向中部转移,且区域逐渐扩大。患者中急性期、亚急性期、慢性期占比分别为91.10%、5.60%和3.30%,发病-诊断时间间隔的中位数(四分位数)为17(7,36) d,56.67%的患者在本县(区)就诊,各疾病预防控制中心累计报告了52.99%的病例。
    结论 2005-2025年河南省布病发病存在波及区域广、报告病例数多的特点,应重点关注高发地区农村中老年男性,加强健康教育和行为干预,提高布病防控知识宣传广度。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and diagnosis performance of human brucellosis in Henan province and provide evidence for the development of targeted prevention and control strategies.
    Methods The incidence data of human brucellosis cases reported in Henan from 2005 to 2025 were obtained from China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention for a descriptive analysis. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine trends in incidence rates, and software ArcGIS 10.7 was used to describe the spatial distribution and analyze spatial clustering of human brucellosis.
    Results A total of 57,795 human brucellosis cases were reported in Henan during 2005-2025, with an average annual incidence rate of 2.90/100,000. The overall incidence exhibited a significant upward trend (average annual percentage change=16.38%; 95% confidence interval: 14.76%−19.09%; P<0.001), with two incidence peaks in 2015 and 2022, followed by a decline. The disease exhibited marked seasonality, with annual incidence peak occurring during March - August. The patients were mainly men (male to female ratio, 2.46∶1.00), farmers (84.35%), and people aged 40−<70 years (70.03%). Furthermore, linear regression analysis indicated that the median age of patients increased by 0.663 years per year. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed that in 2005, reported cases were mainly distributed in central and northwestern Henan, then spread to central and southern areas, and then eastern area; by 2025, the disease had been reported in all the counties/districts. A noticeable shift in high–high clustering was observed from the north to central Henan, accompanied by a gradual expansion of affected areas. The proportions of acute, sub-acute, and chronic cases were 91.10%, 5.60%, and 3.30%, respectively. The median interval from onset to diagnosis was 17 days (interquartile range: 7−36 days). Among all the patients, 56.67% sought medical care in local hospitals, and 52.99% of the cases were reported by centers for disease control and prevention.
    Conclusion The human brucellosis epidemic in Henan is characterized by a wide geographic distribution and a high number of reported cases. Prevention and control efforts should be strengthened for rural middle-aged and elderly men living in areas with high-incidence rates. Improving health education and behavioral intervention are essential for higher public awareness of brucellosis prevention and control.

     

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