2026年9月中国需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in China, September 2026

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估2026年9月在我国(不含香港、澳门特别行政区和台湾地区,下同)传染病疫情等突发公共卫生事件风险。
    方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请各省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
    结果 登革热和基孔肯雅热境外输入风险持续存在,蚊媒控制薄弱地区发生本地疫情和聚集性疫情风险依然较高,各类风险地区要切实降低蚊密度,增强医务人员诊断意识,严防规模性疫情发生。刚果民主共和国本迪布焦型埃博拉病毒病疫情输入我国并续发传播风险低,需继续做好疫情风险国家和地区来华及返华人员健康监测与疫情应对准备。寨卡病毒病疫情输入风险仍较高,需开展蚊媒传染病多病共防。猴痘疫情持续存在输入及本地续发传播风险,需加强调查与协查,联防联控。人感染新亚型流感存在发生散发病例的可能,需继续加强多部门联合调查控制及人群风险评估。发热伴血小板减少综合征仍处于流行期,需加强健康宣教,增强公众预防与感染控制意识,做好病例管理,减少暴露机会及聚集性疫情风险。霍乱当前为高发季节,需加强霍乱病例的监测和病原学检测,强化健康教育,增强防病和救治意识。疟疾仍高于2025年同期水平,需警惕边境地区输入和传播风险,强化联防联控。
    结论 对登革热、基孔肯雅热予以重点关注,对本迪布焦型埃博拉病毒病、寨卡病毒病、猴痘、人感染新亚型流感、发热伴血小板减少综合征、霍乱、疟疾等予以一般关注,做好风险防范工作。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan region, the same below) in September 2026.
    Methods Based on the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and surveillance results of key infectious diseases or notifications from relevant agencies and departments, an expert consultation conference was held and experts from provincial (autonomous region and municipal) centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference via video conference.
    Results The risk of dengue fever and chikungunya fever being imported from abroad persists. The risk of local outbreaks and cluster outbreaks occurring in areas with weak mosquito vector control remains high. Various high-risk areas should effectively reduce mosquito density, enhance the diagnostic awareness of medical personnel, and strictly prevent the occurrence of large-scale outbreaks. The risk of importation of the Bundibugyo Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo into China and subsequent transmission is low. It is necessary to continue to make preparations for health monitoring and epidemic response of people from countries and regions at risk of epidemic in China and returning to China. The risk of importation of Zika virus disease is still high, and mosquito borne infectious disease prevention needs to be carried out. The mpox outbreak continues to pose a risk of imported and locally transmitted secondary cases. It is essential to strengthen epidemiological investigation, collaborative case tracing, and joint prevention and control efforts. Sporadic cases of human infection with novel influenza A viruses remain possible, and it is essential to continue strengthening multisectoral joint investigation and control, along with population risk assessment. Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is still in its epidemic season. Public awareness of prevention and infection control should be enhanced to reduce exposure opportunities and the risk of clustered outbreaks. At present, cholera is a high incidence season. It is necessary to strengthen the monitoring of cholera cases and pathogen detection, strengthen health, and enhance the awareness of disease prevention and treatment through education. The number of malaria cases remains higher than that in the same period last year. We need to be vigilant against the risk of import and transmission in border areas and strengthen joint prevention and control.
    Conclusion Attention should be paid to dengue, chikungunya, EVD, Zika virus disease, mpox, human infection with novel influenza A viruses, SFTS, cholera and malaria, and risk prevention measures should be effectively implemented.

     

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