1990—2021年中国与全球儿童/青少年重度抑郁疾病负担分析

Disease burden of major depressive disorder in children and adolescents in China and in the world, 1990—2021

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨1990—2021年中国与全球儿童/青少年重度抑郁(MDD)的疾病负担,为制定针对性防控策略提供依据。
    方法 基于全球疾病负担研究(GBD) 2021数据库,采用Joinpoint回归分析年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)与年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率(ASDR)的时间变化趋势;以社会人口指数(SDI)为关键解释变量,构建多元回归评估伤残调整生命年(DALYs)与SDI的关联;应用Das Gupta分解量化人口增长、人口老龄化及流行病学变化对DALYs的贡献;依据GBD标准口径计算MDD归因DALYs比例的时间变化。
    结果 1990—2021年,全球与中国儿童/青少年MDD负担呈现不同变化趋势。全球儿童/青少年MDD负担分析结果显示,ASIR由3 554.71/10万增至4 135.11/10万,平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)为19.55%;ASPR由2 392.51/10万增至2 771.64/10万,AAPC为12.75%;ASDR由480.62/10万增至557.87/10万,AAPC为2.91%。中国儿童/青少年MDD负担分析结果显示,ASIR由2 412.43/10万降至2 129.47/10万,AAPC为−6.43%;ASPR由1 622.13/10万降至1 426.49/10万,AAPC为−4.28%;ASDR由330.26/10万降至287.48/10万,AAPC为−1.02%。无论全球或中国,女性ASIR、ASPR与ASDR普遍高于男性。全球层面DALYs与SDI呈负相关;中国层面较高SDI与较低ASDR的组合更为明显。分解分析结果显示,全球DALYs变化主要归因于人口增长与人口老龄化推动,中国DALYs下降则主要归因于流行病学变化;全球与中国的主要风险因素均为亲密伴侣暴力与童年性虐待。
    结论 本研究系统揭示了1990—2021年中国与全球儿童/青少年MDD疾病负担的时空演变、性别差异、风险因素格局及其与社会经济发展水平的关联,为制定分层分类的公共卫生干预与资源配置提供了更为全面的证据基础。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the disease burden of major depressive disorder (MDD) in children and adolescents in China and in the world from 1990 to 2021 and provide evidence for the development of targeted prevention and control strategies.
    Methods The database Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 was used, Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to evaluate temporal trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year rate (ASDR) of MDD. Socio-demographic Index (SDI) was used as a key explanation variable in multivariate regression analysis to evaluate the associations between disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and SDI. Das Gupta decomposition quantified the contributions of population growth, aging, and epidemiologic changes to DALYs. Time-series changes in MDD-attributed DALYs were calculated by using GBD standard metrics.
    Results From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of MDD in children/adolescents in China and in the world varied. The analysis revealed that the ASIR increased from 3,554.71/100 000 to 4,135.11 /100,000, with average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 19.55%, the ASPR increased from 2,392.51/100 000 to 2,771.64/100,000 , with AAPC of 12.75%, the ASDR increased from 480.62/100 000 to 557.87/100,000, with the AAPC of 2.91% in the world. The analysis on the disease burden of MDD in children/adolescents in China revealed theASIR decreased from 2,412.43/100 000 to 2,129.47/100,000 (AAPC −6.43%); the ASPR decreased from 1,622.13/100 000 to 1,426.49/100,000 (AAPC −4.28%); the ASDR decreased from 330.26/100 000 to 287.48/100,000 (AAPC −1.02%). Girls consistently usually had higher ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR compared with boys both at home and abroad. In the world, DALYs was negatively associated with SDI; In China, the combination of higher SDI and lower ASDR was more obvious. Decomposition analysis revealed that the global DALY increases were mainly driven by population growth and aging, whereas the DALY decline in China was largely attributed to epidemiological changes. The leading risk factors both at home and abroad were intimate partner violence and childhood sexual abuse.
    Conclusion This study systematically characterizes the spatiotemporal evolution, sex specific differences, risk factors, and SDI-related gradients of the disease burden of MDD in children and adolescents in China and in the world from 1990 to 2021 to provide more comprehensive evidence for targeted public health interventions and resource allocation.

     

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