耿梦杰, 曾令佳, 孙婕, 彭质斌, 秦颖, 冯录召, 罗莉, 冉陆, 陈伟, 殷文武, 李涛, 张慧, 宁桂军, 杨宏, 郝立新, 王丽萍, 李中杰. 2017-2018年全国冬春季重点传染病疫情形势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(3): 179-183. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.03.003
引用本文: 耿梦杰, 曾令佳, 孙婕, 彭质斌, 秦颖, 冯录召, 罗莉, 冉陆, 陈伟, 殷文武, 李涛, 张慧, 宁桂军, 杨宏, 郝立新, 王丽萍, 李中杰. 2017-2018年全国冬春季重点传染病疫情形势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(3): 179-183. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.03.003
Geng Mengjie, Zeng Lingjia, Sun Jie, Peng Zhibin, Qin Ying, Feng Luzhao, Luo Li, Ran Lu, Chen Wei, Yin Wenwu, Li Tao, Zhang Hui, Ning Guijun, Yang Hong, Hao Lixin, Wang Liping, Li Zhongjie. Analysis on epidemics of priority communicable diseases in China in winter and spring of 2017-2018[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(3): 179-183. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.03.003
Citation: Geng Mengjie, Zeng Lingjia, Sun Jie, Peng Zhibin, Qin Ying, Feng Luzhao, Luo Li, Ran Lu, Chen Wei, Yin Wenwu, Li Tao, Zhang Hui, Ning Guijun, Yang Hong, Hao Lixin, Wang Liping, Li Zhongjie. Analysis on epidemics of priority communicable diseases in China in winter and spring of 2017-2018[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(3): 179-183. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.03.003

2017-2018年全国冬春季重点传染病疫情形势分析

Analysis on epidemics of priority communicable diseases in China in winter and spring of 2017-2018

  • 摘要: 目的 评估2017-2018年全国冬春季重点传染病疫情形势,为进一步做好冬春季重点传染病监测与防控提供参考和指导。方法 根据我国传染病疫情报告信息管理系统、流感专病监测信息管理系统等监测数据,对2017年截至第50周(12月17日)的监测结果进行分析、研判。结果 截至2017年12月17日,全国法定传染病总体报告发病、死亡水平较2016年同期分别上升0.6%、8.0%。全国已进入流感流行季节,全国流感疫情持续上升,南北方流感可能出现更多病例和暴发事件;其他感染性腹泻病暴发疫情较2016年同期有较大幅度上升,疫情报告起数比同期(120起)增加182%,主要由诺如病毒暴发引起;流行性出血热报告病例数较多的省份为陕西、山东、黑龙江、辽宁、湖南;预计近期各地再报告学校结核病聚集性疫情的可能性较高;部分地区流行性腮腺炎、猩红热和百日咳等呼吸道传染病报告病例数上升幅度较大。结论 预计2017-2018年冬春季我国的传染病疫情仍将有所上升,需重点关注流行性感冒、诺如病毒感染性腹泻病、流行性出血热、肺结核等重点传染病疫情形势,做好疫情监测报告及暴发疫情处置,落实各项防控措施。积极做好人群的健康宣教与风险沟通。

     

    Abstract: Objective To evaluate the epidemic trend of priority communicable diseases in China in winter and spring of 2017-2018 and provide evidence for the improvement of the surveillance,prevention and control of communicable diseases during this period. Methods The surveillance data of communicable diseases from 1 January to 17 December in 2017 were collected from the national notifiable communicable disease reporting system and the influenza surveillance system for analysis and evaluation. Results As of 17 December 2017,the overall morbidity and mortality of communicable disease increased by 0.6% and 8.0% respectively compared with the same period in 2016. As an influenza season,the influenza epidemic would increase in China,and more influenza cases and outbreaks might occur in both southern and northern areas. The epidemics of other infectious diarrheal diseases,mainly the outbreaks of norovirus infection,increased by 182% compared with the same period in 2016(120 outbreaks). Most cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome were reported in Shaanxi,Shandong, Heilongjiang,Liaoning and Hunan provinces. It is predicted that tuberculosis clustering would be more likely to be reported in schools again. In some areas,the reported case numbers of mumps,scarlet fever,pertussis and other respiratory infectious diseases increased obviously compared with 2016. Conclusion It is predicted that the epidemics of communicable diseases would increase in winter and spring of 2017-2018,Close attention should be paid to the epidemics of priority communicable diseases,such as influenza,norovirus caused infectious diarrhea,hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and tuberculosis. It is necessary to strengthen the epidemic surveillance,reporting and response,practice all the prevention and control measures and enhance the population health education and risk communication.

     

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