洪志恒, 杨宏, 牟笛, 任婧寰, 王宵晔, 孟玲, 涂文校, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2018年8月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(8): 623-626. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.08.003
引用本文: 洪志恒, 杨宏, 牟笛, 任婧寰, 王宵晔, 孟玲, 涂文校, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2018年8月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2018, 33(8): 623-626. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.08.003
Zhiheng Hong, Hong Yang, Di Mu, Jinghuan Ren, Xiaoye Wang, Ling Meng, Wenxiao Tu, Nijuan Xiang, Guoqing Shi. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, August 2018[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(8): 623-626. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.08.003
Citation: Zhiheng Hong, Hong Yang, Di Mu, Jinghuan Ren, Xiaoye Wang, Ling Meng, Wenxiao Tu, Nijuan Xiang, Guoqing Shi. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, August 2018[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2018, 33(8): 623-626. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2018.08.003

2018年8月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, August 2018

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估2018年8月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
    方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
    结果 总体上,预计8月水痘、流行性腮腺炎等传染病事件可能呈下降趋势,而登革热、手足口病、霍乱等突发事件则可能较为多见,其中登革热输入风险及本地病例发生风险可能持续增加;食物中毒和高温中暑事件仍将处于发生风险时期,其中野生菌中毒处于高发期;灾区灾后水源性、食源性、动物源性和接触性传染病风险将有所上升。
    结论 需要重点关注登革热、Ⅱ型疫苗衍生脊髓灰质炎病毒、食物中毒、高温中暑,对于洪涝灾害予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in August 2018.
    Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
    Results Generally speaking, it is predicted that the epidemics of chicken pox and mumps would decrease in August, but more epidemics of dengue fever, hand foot and mouth disease and cholera might occur. The risk of imported and indigenous dengue fever cases would keep increasing. It is still the high incidence season of food poisoning, especially poisonous mushroom poisoning, and heatstroke. Disaster affected communities are at high risks of waterborne, foodborne, vector-borne diseases and other contagious communicable diseases.
    Conclusion Close attention should be paid to dengue fever, vaccine-derived poliovirus detected in sewage sample collected in Xinjiang, food poisoning and heatstroke, and general attention should be paid to the public health risk caused by nature disaster such as flood.

     

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