涂文校, 李静欣, 王锐, 孟玲, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2020年10月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2020, 35(10): 879-882. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2020.10.004
引用本文: 涂文校, 李静欣, 王锐, 孟玲, 向妮娟, 施国庆. 2020年10月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2020, 35(10): 879-882. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2020.10.004
Wenxiao Tu, Jingxin Li, Rui Wang, Ling Meng, Nijuan Xiang, Guoqing Shi. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, October 2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2020, 35(10): 879-882. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2020.10.004
Citation: Wenxiao Tu, Jingxin Li, Rui Wang, Ling Meng, Nijuan Xiang, Guoqing Shi. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, October 2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2020, 35(10): 879-882. DOI: 10.3784/j.issn.1003-9961.2020.10.004

2020年10月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, October 2020

  • 摘要:
    目的评估2020年10月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
    方法2020年9月29日中国疾病预防控制中心根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
    结果随着学校和托幼机构开学、经济活动恢复,预计2020年10月我国的突发公共卫生事件的报告数将较9月有上升,可能会接近往年同期平均水平。 全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情此起彼伏、持续蔓延,我国境内自2020年8月29日以来全部恢复低风险水平。 我国发生新型冠状病毒肺炎输入及其续发本地传播风险持续存在,目前采取积极的外防输入、内防反弹的策略,一旦发现本地疫情则采取常态化精准防控和局部疫情应急处置相结合的措施;在做好合法入境人员管理、加强输入冷冻品监测和非法入境人员管理的情况下,我国能够继续做到有效发现和及时控制再次发生的本地疫情。 10月还需要注意预防诺如病毒感染性腹泻和食物中毒。
    结论需要对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对诺如病毒感染性腹泻和食物中毒予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
    ObjectiveTo assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in October 2020.
    MethodsAn internet based expert counsel was conducted on 29 September 2020 by Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases both at home and abroad reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference through video terminal.
    ResultsIt is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in October would be higher than in September, 2020, and might be similar to the average level during the same period in previous years as the reopen of schools and recovery of economic activities. At present, the global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is still ongoing out of control. The low risk status (without local transmission) of COVID-19 in China has been maintained since 29 August 2020, but the risk of imported cases and local transmission of COVID-19 still exists. By now, the active strategy to prevent the importation and re-emergency of COVID-19 in China has been taking, once the local transmission is detected, accurate prevention and control based on routine measures will be conducted, including local emergency response as situation demands. By strengthening the quarantine at international airports and land border ports in China, improving the monitoring of imported frozen products and strengthening the management of illegal entry, China can effectively detect and timely control the new local transmission of COVID-19 in the future. Norovirus infectious diarrhea and food poisoning are also public health concerns, especially during the 8 days of National Day festival and mid-autumn festival.
    ConclusionSpecial attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to norovirus infectious diarrhea and food poisoning.

     

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