尹世辉, 唐磊, 于艳玲, 邢智锋, 袁爽, 葛晶雪. 2016-2019年黑龙江省人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及空间聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(12): 1252-1256. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202105260299
引用本文: 尹世辉, 唐磊, 于艳玲, 邢智锋, 袁爽, 葛晶雪. 2016-2019年黑龙江省人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及空间聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(12): 1252-1256. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202105260299
Yin Shihui, Tang Lei, Yu Yanling, Xing Zhifeng, Yuan Shuang, Ge Jingxue. Epidemiological characteristics and spatial distribution of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang, 2016–2019[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(12): 1252-1256. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202105260299
Citation: Yin Shihui, Tang Lei, Yu Yanling, Xing Zhifeng, Yuan Shuang, Ge Jingxue. Epidemiological characteristics and spatial distribution of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang, 2016–2019[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(12): 1252-1256. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202105260299

2016-2019年黑龙江省人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及空间聚集性分析

Epidemiological characteristics and spatial distribution of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang, 2016–2019

  • 摘要:
      目的  了解和掌握黑龙江省人间布鲁氏菌病(布病)流行特征及空间分布特点,为制订布病防控策略提供科学依据。
      方法   收集2016—2019年黑龙江省人间布病疫情资料,应用Excel 2016软件对数据进行整理和描述流行病学分析;QGIS 3.8软件绘制布病发病率专题地图;GeoDa 1.16软件进行全局空间自相关分析、局部空间自相关分析和热点分析。
      结果   2016—2019年黑龙江省累计报告人间布病病例18 096例。 年度发病率呈波动下降趋势。 历年各月份均有人间布病发生,发病高峰集中在3—7月,占病例总数的56.76%(10 272/18 096)。 发病人群中男女性别比为2.87∶1;病例年龄主要集中在20~69岁组,占总病例数的94.71%(17 139/18 096);职业分布以农民为主,占总病例数的83.84%(15 172/18096)。 辖区内有129个县(市、区)报告人间布病病例,累计报告病例数排名前5位的县(市、区)分别为杜尔伯特蒙古族自治县、嫩江市、龙江县、甘南县、肇东市,累计报告病例数占总发病数的21.46%(3 884/18 096)。 全局空间自相关分析结果显示,黑龙江省布病历年发病均呈空间聚集性分布,局部空间自相关分析与热点分析提示省内人间布病高发区域主要集中在省内西南部和东南部地区。
      结论   黑龙江省人间布病年度发病率呈波动下降趋势,3—7月春夏季是省内布病高发季节,重点防控人群为20~60岁男性农民,重点防控区域为省内西南部和和东南部地区。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To understand the epidemiological characteristics and spatial distribution of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang province in recent years, and provide scientific evidence for the development of human brucellosis prevention and control strategies.
      Methods   The incidence data of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang from 2016 to 2019 were collected. Excel 2016 was used for data process and descriptive epidemiological analysis. The thematic map of human brucellosis incidence was generated by software QGIS 3.8. Software GeoDa 1.16 was used for global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses.
      Results   A total of 18 096 cases of human brucellosis were reported in Heilongjiang from 2016 to 2019. The annual incidence showed a fluctuating downward trend. Human brucellosis occurred all the year round during this period, and the peak of incidence was during March–July, accounting for 56.76% (10 272/18 096) of the total cases. The male to female ratio of the cases was 2.87∶1. The cases mainly occurred in age group 20–69 years, accounting for 94.71% of the total cases (17 139/18 096). The cases were mainly reported in farmers, accounting for 83.84% (15 172/18 096) of the total cases. A total of 129 counties (cities and districts) reported human brucellosis cases, and the top five counties (cities and districts) in terms of cumulative reported cases were Durbert, Nenjiang, Longjiang, Gannan and Zhaodong, with the cases accounting for 21.46% (3 884/18 096) of the total cases. The results of global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the annual incidence of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang was spatially clustered. Local spatial autocorrelation analysis and hotspot analysis indicated that the high incidence areas of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang were mainly in the southwest and southeast of the province.
      Conclusion   The annual incidence of human brucellosis in Heilongjiang showed a fluctuating decline trend. Spring and summer were the seasons with high incidence of human brucellosis. The populations at high risk were those aged 20–60 years, males and farmers, and the areas with high incidence of human brucellosis were in the southwestern and southeastern of Heilongjiang province.

     

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