王霄晔, 马永胜, 冯晔囡, 刘倩倩, 黎丹, 李建东, 王锐, 涂文校, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2022年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(6): 720-724. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202206130254
引用本文: 王霄晔, 马永胜, 冯晔囡, 刘倩倩, 黎丹, 李建东, 王锐, 涂文校, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2022年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(6): 720-724. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202206130254
Wang Xiaoye, Ma Yongsheng, Feng Yenan, Liu Qianqian, Li Dan, Li Jiandong, Wang Rui, Tu Wenxiao, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(6): 720-724. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202206130254
Citation: Wang Xiaoye, Ma Yongsheng, Feng Yenan, Liu Qianqian, Li Dan, Li Jiandong, Wang Rui, Tu Wenxiao, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(6): 720-724. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202206130254

2022年6月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, June 2022

  • 摘要:
      目的   评估2022年6月在我国大陆地区发生或可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法   根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告、重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心参与评估。
      结果   总体上,预计6月突发公共卫生事件报告数较5月略有下降,仍以传染病事件为主。 全国新型冠状病毒肺炎(新冠肺炎)疫情总体呈稳定下降态势,但局部地区仍有小幅波动且有新增疫情省份。 发热伴血小板减少综合征将持续上升,报告病例数可能达到自该病发现以来历史新高,病例以散发为主,医护人员和/或患者家属需警惕续发感染的风险。 食物中毒事件处于高发期,毒蘑菇中毒造成死亡的风险将上升。 猴痘在全球传播风险为中等,需关注经入境人员输入疫情及其续发风险。
      结论   对新冠肺炎予以特别关注,对发热伴血小板减少综合征、食物中毒、猴痘予以一般关注

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the risk of public health emergencies, including both indigenous and imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in June 2022.
      Methods   An internet-based expert counselling was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of both public health emergencies and prioritized communicable diseases in China, as well as other information reported through different channels. Experts in each provincial center for disease control and prevention attended the video conference for risk assessment.
      Results   Overall, the incidence of public health emergencies in June is predicted to be slightly lower than in May, while infectious disease accounting for the largest number. For COVID-19, the overall trend in China will be a steady decline, however, small fluctuations in some areas and provinces with new outbreaks reported will be expected. The incidence of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) will continue to rise, and the number of reported cases may reach all-time high since the disease was discovered in China with most cases would be sporadic. Special attention should be paid to healthcare worker and the families of patient to avoid infection. Incidence of food poisoning would be high and the risk of death caused by poisonous mushroom poisoning raised. The global transmission risk of monkeypox is moderate. The risk of case imported and causing local spread in China should be concerned.
      Conclusion   Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, general attention should be paid to severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome, food poisoning, and monkeypox.

     

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