叶珍珍, 成慧, 刘家虹, 龚俊平, 尹梅. 2016-2021年江西省丙型病毒性肝炎流行特征和时空聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(3): 294-298. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208290382
引用本文: 叶珍珍, 成慧, 刘家虹, 龚俊平, 尹梅. 2016-2021年江西省丙型病毒性肝炎流行特征和时空聚集性分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(3): 294-298. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208290382
Ye Zhenzhen, Cheng Hui, Liu Jiahong, Gong Junping, Yin Mei. Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hepatitis C in Jiangxi, 2016−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(3): 294-298. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208290382
Citation: Ye Zhenzhen, Cheng Hui, Liu Jiahong, Gong Junping, Yin Mei. Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hepatitis C in Jiangxi, 2016−2021[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(3): 294-298. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208290382

2016-2021年江西省丙型病毒性肝炎流行特征和时空聚集性分析

Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hepatitis C in Jiangxi, 2016−2021

  • 摘要:
      目的   分析江西省丙型病毒性肝炎(丙肝)的流行病学特征和时空聚集性,为丙肝的风险识别、预警和有效防控提供参考依据。
      方法   收集2016—2021年江西省丙肝的监测数据,用ArcGIS 10.2软件进行空间自相关分析,用SaTScan软件进行时空扫描分析。
      结果   2016—2021年江西省累计报告丙肝病例14 982例,其中死亡病例4例,年平均报告发病率为5.44/10万,平均病死率为0.03%。 报告病例中男性多于女性,年龄集中在40~69岁,职业分布以农民、家务及待业人员、离退休人员为主。 空间自相关分析显示,2016—2021年丙肝发病具有一定的空间聚集性,高发区域主要分布在萍乡市、九江市、抚州市和南昌市所辖县(区)。 时空扫描分析探测到1个Ⅰ类聚集区和3个Ⅱ类聚集区,Ⅰ类聚集区域主要覆盖萍乡市主城区和周边县(区)。
      结论   江西省丙肝发病具有明显的人群流行特征和时空聚集性。 萍乡市、九江市、抚州市和南昌市的主城区及周边临近县(区)为丙肝发病的重点聚集区,需特别关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution of hepatitis C in Jiangxi province and provide scientific basis for risk identification, early warning and effective prevention and control of hepatitis C.
      Methods   The surveillance data of hepatitis C in Jiangxi from 2016 to 2021 were collected, spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed with ArcGIS 10.2, and spatiotemporal epidemiological analysis was performed with SaTScan.
      Results   A total of 14 982 hepatitis C cases, including 4 deaths, were reported in Jiangxi during 2016−2021. The annual average reported incidence rate was 5.44/100000, and the average case fatality rate was 0.03%. More cases were reported in men, and the cases were mainly aged 40−69 years. The cases were was mainly farmers, the jobless or the unemployed and retirees. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the incidence of hepatitis C had a certain spatial clustering during 2016−2021, and the areas with high incidences were mainly distributed in counties or districts of Pingxiang, Jiujiang, Fuzhou and Nanchang. One class I clustering area and three II clustering areas were detected by spatiotemporal scanning. The class I cluster area mainly covered the urban area and surrounding counties of Pingxiang.
      Conclusion   The incidence of hepatitis C had obvious demographic characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering in Jiangxi. The urban areas and surrounding districts of Pingxiang, Jiujiang, Fuzhou and Nanchang were the key clustering areas of hepatitis C incidence, to which special attention needs to be paid.

     

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