许诗瑶, 涂文校, 靳淼, 冯晔囡, 谢怡然, 唐林, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2022年11月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(11): 1389-1392. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202211110489
引用本文: 许诗瑶, 涂文校, 靳淼, 冯晔囡, 谢怡然, 唐林, 施国庆, 向妮娟. 2022年11月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(11): 1389-1392. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202211110489
Xu Shiyao, Tu Wenxiao, Jin Miao, Feng Yenan, Xie Yiran, Tang Lin, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, November 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(11): 1389-1392. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202211110489
Citation: Xu Shiyao, Tu Wenxiao, Jin Miao, Feng Yenan, Xie Yiran, Tang Lin, Shi Guoqing, Xiang Nijuan. Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, November 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(11): 1389-1392. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202211110489

2022年11月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China, November 2022

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2022年11月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。
      方法  根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。
      结果  预计11月突发公共卫生事件报告数将较10月上升。 我国将持续面临新型冠状病毒肺炎本土疫情传播扩散和境外病毒输入造成本土传播的双重压力。预计今冬明春我国南北方省份依然会出现季节性流行性感冒(流感)的高发,多个型别和亚型共同流行。11月诺如病毒肠炎暴发起数可能会明显上升。
      结论  对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注,对季节性流感和诺如病毒肠炎予以一般关注。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in November 2022.
      Methods   An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference.
      Results   It is expected that the incidence of public health emergencies reported in November would increase compared with that in October. There is still risk of the import and spread of COVID-19. It is expected that the southern and northern provinces of China will still have a high incidence of seasonal flu this winter and next spring with multiple types and subtypes. The number of outbreaks of enteritis due to norovirus in November may rise significantly.
      Conclusion   Special attention should be paid to COVID-19. General attentions should be paid to seasonal flu and enteritis due to norovirus.

     

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