纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 庞明樊, 赵青, 房元圣, 李洁, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年1月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(2): 139-143. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202302200050
引用本文: 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 庞明樊, 赵青, 房元圣, 李洁, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年1月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(2): 139-143. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202302200050
Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Pang Mingfan, Zhao Qing, Fang Yuansheng, Li Jie, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in January 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(2): 139-143. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202302200050
Citation: Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Pang Mingfan, Zhao Qing, Fang Yuansheng, Li Jie, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in January 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(2): 139-143. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202302200050

2023年1月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in January 2023

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2023年1月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况及对我国的输入风险。
      方法  根据美国约翰斯·霍普金斯大学公开发布的每日COVID-19疫情数据,结合全球新型冠状病毒入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球COVID-19疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
      结果  与2022年12月相比,全球月新增确诊病例下降了40.37%,月新增死亡病例上升了147.95%,各大洲1月每日新增确诊病例整体呈下降趋势,每日新增死亡病例除亚洲外整体较为稳定。 全球每新增5 000万确诊病例和50万死亡病例用时增加。 日本、美国、中国和澳大利亚月新增死亡病例增长明显;赞比亚、阿根廷、新西兰和墨西哥是各大洲前3位中月新增死亡病例增长明显的国家;俄罗斯是周边十四国特别关注国家。
      结论  全球每日新增确诊病例和死亡病例1月份整体呈下降趋势,但个别区域和国家疫情仍较为突出。 对于重点国家要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in January 2023 and the risk of importation.
      Methods   According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by Johns Hopkins University, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighbouring countries.
      Results   Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases and deaths respectively decreased by 40.37% and increased by 147.95% globally in January 2023. Daily new confirmed cases showed a decreasing trend, while deaths in all continents stayed stable except Asia in January. The time taken for every 50 million new confirmed cases and 500 thousand deaths globally has increased slightly. The number of deaths in Japan, America, China, and Australia increased rapidly. Zambia, Argentina, New Zealand and Mexico were the countries that showed a sharp rise in the number of deaths in January. Russia was the country with special concern among the 14 neighbouring countries.
      Conclusion   The global daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a downward trend in January, but the epidemic situation was prominent in some regions and countries. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global focus and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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