Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan Province, the same below) in April 2023.
Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) centers for disease prevention and control were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies would be similar in April 2023 to March 2023. The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases such as seasonal influenza and norovirus enteritis. Given SARS-COV-2 infection is currently in the stage of low-level transmission and the mixed immune barrier formed by previous natural infection and vaccination in Chinese population still has a high protective effect on the main circulating strains in China, the spread of SARS-COV-2 infection in China may remain a low level in April. However, SARS-COV-2 variants and re-infection should be vigilant. Influenza activity would continue to decrease to the inter-seasonal level in April. The outbreaks of norovirus enteritis may decrease. The number of brucellosis cases would rise in most provinces, especially in the northern provinces.
Conclusion Special attention is given to COVID-19, and general attention is given to seasonal influenza, norovirus enteritis and brucelliasis.
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