薛秀丽, 庞明樊, 纪瀚然, 房元圣, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 赵青, 李洁, 戚晓鹏. 2023年4月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(5): 511-515. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305210231
引用本文: 薛秀丽, 庞明樊, 纪瀚然, 房元圣, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 赵青, 李洁, 戚晓鹏. 2023年4月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(5): 511-515. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305210231
Xue Xiuli, Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Fang Yuansheng, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in April 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(5): 511-515. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305210231
Citation: Xue Xiuli, Pang Mingfan, Ji Hanran, Fang Yuansheng, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in April 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(5): 511-515. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202305210231

2023年4月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in April 2023

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2023年4月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况及对我国的输入风险。
      方法  根据世界卫生组织公开发布的每日COVID-19疫情数据,结合全球COVID-19入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球COVID-19疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
      结果  与2023年3月相比,4月全球月新增确诊病例环比下降了21.17%,月新增死亡病例环比下降了19.19%。 各大洲4月每日新增确诊和死亡病例整体呈下降趋势。 全球月新增确诊病例前10位国家中,韩国、印度、澳大利亚和新加坡月环比增长显著,为全球重点关注国家。 各大洲月新增确诊病例前3位国家中,南美洲的秘鲁、非洲区的毛里求斯和摩洛哥月环比增长显著,为各大洲一般关注国家。 印度是周边十四国特别关注国家,4月病例呈上升趋势且入境政策宽松。
      结论  全球每日新增确诊病例和死亡病例4月整体呈下降趋势。 对于重点国家要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in April 2023 and the risk of importation.
      Methods   According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by World Health Organization, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighbouring countries.
      Results   Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases and deaths globally decreased by 21.17% and 19.19% respectively in April 2023. Daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a decreasing trend in all continents in April. South Korea, India, Australia, and Singapore were countries with global concern, the new cases of which increased significantly this month compared with the last month. Peru in South America, Mauritius and Morocco in Africa also showed a rapid rise in the number of new cases in April. Special concern should be paid to India among the 14 land-boarding countries, whose cases rose in April and there were no international travel restriction related to COVID-19.
      Conclusion   The global daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a downward trend in April. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global concern and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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