2018-2022年浙江省人间布鲁氏菌病流行特征及空间聚集性分析

Epidemiological characteristics and spatial clustering of human brucellosis in Zhejiang province, 2018−2022

  • 摘要:
    目的 对浙江省人间布鲁氏菌病(布病)的流行特征和空间聚集性进行分析,为防控策略的制定提供依据。
    方法 从中国疾病预防控制信息系统中获取2018—2022年浙江省布病疫情资料,采用描述性流行病学方法分析布病病例的三间分布特征,运用全局和局部空间自相关分析方法对2018—2022年浙江省布病疫情数据进行空间聚集性分析。
    结果 2018—2022年浙江省共报告布病病例716例,男性528例,女性188例,男女性别比为2.81∶1,未报告死亡病例。 病例集中在3—6月,春夏季为发病高峰。 45岁以上中老年人为高发人群,占发病总数的82.40%,职业以农民为主,占48.60%。 发病数位居前3位的地区分别为嘉兴市、湖州市和杭州市,占病例总数的46.79%。 全局空间自相关结果显示,2018—2022年浙江省布病病例存在空间聚集性,莫兰指数分别为0.06、0.25、0.27、0.20、0.33。 局部空间自相关结果发现“高–高”聚集区主要集中在浙江省北部的嘉兴市和湖州市。
    结论 2018—2022年浙江省布病发病呈上升趋势,布病发病呈现空间聚集性,春夏季是发病高峰,应在重点防控地区的从业人员开展血清学监测、防护宣传教育和行为干预等措施。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatial clustering of human brucellosis in Zhejiang province from 2018 to 2022, and provide evidence for the formulation of prevention and control strategies.
    Methods The incidence data of human brucellosis in Zhejiang from 2018 to 2022 were collected from National Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting System. Descriptive epidemiological method was used to describe the distributions of human brucellosis cases in Zhejiang. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis methods were used to analyze the incidence data of human brucellosis.
    Results A total of 716 human brucellosis cases, including 528 cases in men and 188 cases in women, were reported in Zhejiang from 2018 to 2022. The male-female ratio of the cases was 2.81∶1. No fatal cases were reported. The cases mainly occurred from March to June with the incidence peak in spring and summer. Middle age and old people over 45 years old was the high-risk group with the cases accounting for 82.40% of the total. The cases were mainly farmers, accounting for 48.60%. The top three areas with high-incidences were Jiaxing, Huzhou and Hangzhou, the cases in these areas accounted for 46.79% of the total. The global spatial autocorrelation results showed that there was spatial clustering of human brucellosis cases in Zhejiang from 2018 to 2022. The Moran's I index of the reported incidence of human brucellosis in Zhejiang from 2018 to 2022 were 0.06, 0.25, 0.27, 0.20 and 0.33, respectively (P<0.05). The results of local spatial autocorrelation showed that the “high-high” clustering were mainly in Jiaxing and Huzhou in northern Zhejiang, the areas with high incidences.
    Conclusion The incidence of human brucellosis showed an increasing trend in Zhejiang from 2018 to 2022. The incidence of human brucellosis showed spatial clustering, and the incidence peaked in spring and summer. Serological surveillance, health education, and behavioral intervention should be carried out in populations with occupational exposure in areas with high incidences of human brucellosis.

     

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