2010-2023年山东省青岛市发热伴血小板减少综合征流行特征及病例转诊影响因素分析

Analysis on epidemiologic characteristics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and influencing factors for case referral in Qingdao, Shandong, 2010−2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2010—2023年山东省青岛市发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)的流行特征、趋势及病例转诊的影响因素,为制定SFTS预防控制策略提供数据参考。
    方法 通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集2010—2023年青岛市SFTS报告的病例信息,采用描述性流行病学方法描述三间分布特征及变化趋势。 采用Joinpoint回归模型及logistic回归分析方法分析2021—2023年SFTS个案就诊到确诊间隔时间及其转诊的影响因素。
    结果 2010—2023年青岛市累计报告SFTS病例495例,其中确诊病例396例,临床诊断病例99例。 死亡病例26例。 报告病例年均发病率为0.38/10万,病死率为5.25%。 青岛市SFTS具有明显季节性,发病多集中在 4—10月,占病例总数的80.20%(397/495)。 男女性别比为1.09∶1。 2010—2023年青岛市SFTS病例报告数总体呈上升趋势(年度变化百分比=40.17%,P<0.01)。 年龄[比值比(OR)=0.57, P<0.05]和首诊医院类型(OR=12.23, P<0.05)为转诊的影响因素。 进一步分析表明首诊医院为传染病专科医院的病例转诊率最低。
    结论 青岛市SFTS发病率总体呈上升趋势,黄岛区累计报告病例数最多,发病多以中老年农民为主。 SFTS在基层医疗机构的确诊率较低,需转诊至三级医院或传染病专科医院。 因此,应开展重点人群的宣传教育,增强个人防范意识;加强对各级医疗机构医护人员的业务培训,提升其诊断水平;加强黄岛区等重点区(县)蜱、动物宿主密度、带病毒率等监测,定期发布SFTS风险提示。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics and incidence trend of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and influencing factors for case referral in Qingdao, Shandong province, from 2010 to 2023, and provide evidence for the development of SFTS prevention and control strategies in Qingdao.
    Methods The incidence data of SFTS reported in Qingdao from 2010 to 2023 were collected from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System for descriptive epidemiological analyses on the distributions of SFTS and changing trends. The interval between diagnosis and treatment and the influencing factors of the referral of SFTS cases during 2021−2023 were investigated by using Joinpoint regression model and logistic univariateate regression analysis.
    Results From 2010 to 2023, a total of 495 cases of SFTS, including 26 fatal cases, were reported in Qingdao, in which 396 were confirmed cases and 99 were clinically diagnosed cases, with an annual average reported incidence rate of 0.38/100000 and the case fatality rate of 5.25%. The incidence of SFTS showed an obvious seasonality in Qingdao, with the incidence peak during April-October and 80.20% (397/495) of the cases occurring during this period. The male to female ratio of the cases was 1.09∶1. The overall number of reported SFTS cases showed an upward trend in Qingdao from 2010 to 2023 (annual percent change= 40.17%, P<0.01). Age odds ratio (OR) =0.57, P<0.05 and the type of hospital for the initial visit (OR=12.23, P<0.05) were influencing factors for referral. The lowest rate of referral was found in the cases who made the first visits to specialized hospital for infectious diseases.
    Conclusion The overall incidence of SFTS showed an increasing trend in Qingdao. Huangdao district had the highest reported case count. Middle aged and elderly farmers were the population affected mostly. It is more difficult for primary medical care institution to make confirmation of SFTS, and it is necessary to transfer the cases to grade Ⅲ hospitals or hospitals specializing in infectious diseases. Therefore, health education should be carried out in key population to improve self-protection, and the professional l training of medical workers at all levels should be strengthened to improve SFTS diagnosis. The surveillance for ticks, animal host density and the pathogen carriage rate should be improved in priority areas, such as Huangdao district, and regular risk warning for SFTS needs to be made.

     

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