Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan region, the same below) in July 2025.
Methods Based on the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and surveillance results of key infectious diseases or notifications from relative agencies and departments, the expert consultation conference was hold and experts from provincial (autonomous region and municipal) centers for disease control and prevention attended this conference through video terminal.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in July 2025 would be lower than that in June 2025. There is a rising risk of dengue fever imported from abroad as well as spreading across different areas within China. The risk of cluster outbreaks is high in Class Ⅰ regions and some areas of Class Ⅱ regions. The risk of imported and local transmission of chikungunya and other arboviral diseases would increase. Sporadic cases of cholera are expected to occur in July. Most cases of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) remains to be sporadic, and there is a high risk of cluster outbreaks due to human-to-human transmission. July is a high-risk period for food poisoning incidents, with poisonous mushrooms, toxic plants and animals, microbial contamination being the main risks. There is a rising risk of heatstroke incidence in July and August, men, infants, and the elderly are population at higher risk. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic will continue show a fluctuating downward trend in the follow-up. There remains a possibility of sporadic human infections with avian influenza in China. The mpox clade Ⅱb epidemic in China will continue to maintain a low-level fluctuating trend. There is a risk of importation and secondary infections of mpox clade Ia and Ib cases. In July, China fully enters the main floods season, affected areas would face increased risks such as increases in waterborne, foodborne, and vector-borne diseases.
Conclusion Attention should be paid to dengue fever, cholera, SFTS, food poisoning, heatstroke, COVID-19, human infection with avian influenza, mpox, floods.