王威, 叶一农, 吴智龙, 钟倩红, 陈亮, 黄飞, 杜芳芳, 成诗明, 周杰, 钟球. 2010-2020年广东省佛山市肺结核发病趋势及流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(10): 1039-1043. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202104160205
引用本文: 王威, 叶一农, 吴智龙, 钟倩红, 陈亮, 黄飞, 杜芳芳, 成诗明, 周杰, 钟球. 2010-2020年广东省佛山市肺结核发病趋势及流行特征分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2021, 36(10): 1039-1043. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202104160205
Wang Wei, Ye Yinong, Wu Zhilong, Zhong Qianhong, Chen Liang, Huang Fei, Du Fangfang, Cheng Shiming, Zhou Jie, Zhong Qiu. Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Foshan, 2010–2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(10): 1039-1043. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202104160205
Citation: Wang Wei, Ye Yinong, Wu Zhilong, Zhong Qianhong, Chen Liang, Huang Fei, Du Fangfang, Cheng Shiming, Zhou Jie, Zhong Qiu. Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Foshan, 2010–2020[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2021, 36(10): 1039-1043. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202104160205

2010-2020年广东省佛山市肺结核发病趋势及流行特征分析

Incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Foshan, 2010–2020

  • 摘要:
      目的  分析广东省佛山市肺结核发病趋势及流行特征,预测终止结核病目标实现的可行性,为因地制宜制定防控策略提供科学依据。
      方法  通过对中国疾病预防控制信息系统中广东省和佛山市2010 — 2020年报告肺结核发病趋势进行比较,并按照年龄、性别和职业等进行深入分析,展示不同分析维度的变化特点。
      结果  佛山市2010 — 2020年期间肺结核报告发病率年均下降速度约为9.28%,年均递降率为7.03/10万(t=−12.68,P<0.0001),年均下降速度和年均递降率均高于广东省,且所辖各县/区疫情水平差距逐渐缩小。 肺结核报告发病男女性别比为1∶0.40(t=20.06,P<0.0001),总体上均呈现由低年龄组占比最高转向高年龄组的趋势。 职业以家务及待业、工人和农民为主,约占65.38%。 按照过去10年的发病率下降速度,预测到2035年肺结核发病率能降至10/10万以下水平。
      结论  经采取一系列的防控措施,佛山市结核病疫情快速下降。 应及时总结经验,针对结核病疫情特征,制定新的结核病防控策略。 进一步加大投入,巩固结核病防治服务体系建设,加强全民健康和医疗保障,推广应用创新技术和智能工具,提高结核病防治科学水平。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To understand the incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Foshan, Guangdong province, and provide evidence for the development of local TB prevention and control strategies.
      Methods  We compared the incidence data of pulmonary TB reported in Guangdong and Foshan from 2010 to 2020 collected from "China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention", and the age, gender and occupation specific changes in the incidence of pulmonary TB were analyzed.
      Results  From 2010 to 2020, the reported incidence of pulmonary TB in Foshan had an average annual decline of about 9.28%, and an average annual decline rate of 7.03 per 100 000 (t=−12.68, P<0.0001), both decreased faster than those of Guangdong province. The gap in pulmonary TB incidence levels among the counties and districts have gradually become smaller. The male to female ratio of the pulmonary TB cases was 1∶0.40 (t=20.06, P<0.0001), and the cases decreased in younger age groups but increased in older age groups. The cases were mainly the jobless or unemployed, workers and farmers, accounting for about 65.38%. It is predicted that the pulmonary TB incidence rate in Foshan would decrease to <10/100 000 by 2035 based on the decrease level in the past 10 years.
      Conclusion  The incidence of TB declined rapidly in Foshan after taking a series of prevention and control measures. In the future, it is necessary to develop new TB prevention and control strategies, further increase investment, strengthen the TB prevention service system, improve people’s health and health insurance and promote the application of innovative technologies and smart tools according to the epidemiological characteristics of TB to improve TB prevention and control.

     

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