梁作如, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 李洁, 赵青, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2022年7月全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(8): 998-1002. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208180368
引用本文: 梁作如, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 李洁, 赵青, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2022年7月全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(8): 998-1002. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208180368
Liang Zuoru, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Li Jie, Zhao Qing, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in July 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(8): 998-1002. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208180368
Citation: Liang Zuoru, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Li Jie, Zhao Qing, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in July 2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2022, 37(8): 998-1002. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202208180368

2022年7月全球新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in July 2022

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2022年7月新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况及对我国的输入风险。
      方法  根据美国约翰斯·霍普金斯大学公开发布的每日COVID-19疫情数据,结合牛津大学发布的政策严格性指数,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、WHO各区及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情与防控政策综合分析,对全球COVID-19疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。 对于各国评估结果,用“全球重点关注国家”、“WHO各分区一般关注国家”和“周边特别关注国家”予以表示。
      结果  与2022年6月相比,全球月新增确诊病例上升了62.87%,全球月新增死亡病例升了28.55%。 7月新增确诊病例和新增死亡病例增长率最高的区域均为东地中海区,分别为160%和112%。 美国、日本、法国、德国、意大利、韩国、澳大利亚、土耳其和墨西哥为7月全球重点关注国家,危地马拉、秘鲁、毛里求斯、印度、印度尼西亚、伊朗、伊拉克、突尼斯为7月一般关注国家。 俄罗斯、印度、巴基斯坦、尼泊尔、哈萨克斯坦、阿富汗和蒙古为7月周边特别关注国家。
      结论  全球新增确诊病例和死亡病例7月整体呈上升趋势,其中西太平洋区和东地中海区新增病例上升最为显著,应予以重点关注,及时沟通并调整防控措施。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in July 2022 and the risk of importation.
      Methods   According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by Johns Hopkins University, combined with the policy stringency index published by the University of Oxford, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in WHO regions and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and prevention and control policies in 14 neighboring countries. The assessment results for each country are expressed as “countries of global concern”, “countries of the general concern in each WHO sub-region” and “neighboring countries of special concern”.
      Results  Compared with June 2022, the global monthly new confirmed cases increased by 62.87%, and the global monthly new deaths increased by 28.55%. In July, the Eastern Mediterranean Region had the highest growth rate in both new confirmed cases and new death, at 160% and 112%, respectively. In July, countries of global concern were United States, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Korea, Australia, Turkey and Mexico. Guatemala, Peru, Mauritius, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Tunisia were countries of the general concern. Russia, India, Pakistan, Nepal, Kazakhstan, Afghanistan and Mongolia were neighboring countries of special concern.
      Conclusion  The global daily newly confirmed cases and deaths showed an overall rising trend in July. The epidemic situation in the Western Pacific Region and Eastern Mediterranean are still aggravating, with the number of newly confirmed cases increased significantly, which should be paid special attention to, timely communicate and adjusted measures.

     

/

返回文章
返回