吴塔娜, 荣岩, 曹文杰, 张鑫, 徐丽娟. 2011-2022年内蒙古自治区肺结核发病变化趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2024, 39(1): 53-58. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306020261
引用本文: 吴塔娜, 荣岩, 曹文杰, 张鑫, 徐丽娟. 2011-2022年内蒙古自治区肺结核发病变化趋势分析[J]. 疾病监测, 2024, 39(1): 53-58. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306020261
Wu Tana, Rong Yan, Cao Wenjie, Zhang Xin, Xu Lijuan. Incidence trend of pulmonary tuberculosis in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 2011−2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2024, 39(1): 53-58. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306020261
Citation: Wu Tana, Rong Yan, Cao Wenjie, Zhang Xin, Xu Lijuan. Incidence trend of pulmonary tuberculosis in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 2011−2022[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2024, 39(1): 53-58. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306020261

2011-2022年内蒙古自治区肺结核发病变化趋势分析

Incidence trend of pulmonary tuberculosis in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 2011−2022

  • 摘要:
    目的  分析内蒙古自治区(内蒙古)不同时期肺结核发病率的变化趋势,探讨近年来结核病预防控制的效果,为制定防控措施提供依据。
    方法  利用“中国疾病预防控制信息系统”子系统“传染病报告信息管理系统”、“基本信息系统”和《内蒙古统计年鉴》获取内蒙古2011—2022年肺结核报告发病情况和人口数据,采用Joinpoint回归模型进行肺结核报告发病率(发病率)的趋势性分析。
    结果  2011—2022年内蒙古共计报告肺结核患者14.86万例,发病率从2011年的66.55/10万下降至2022年的28.56/10万,平均发病率49.74/10万,平均变化百分比(AAPC)为−7.32%(Z=−2.405,P=0.016),年递降率为7.40%;男性的发病率(2011年85.66/10万,2022年36.92/10万)高于女性(2011年45.90/10万,2022年19.83/10万),男性、女性AAPC分别为−7.21%、−7.36%;老年人(≥65岁)的平均发病率139.35/10万最高,AAPC为−8.64%,2019年后出现快速下降;中老年(45~54岁)于2011—2018年发病率平稳,2018年后出现下降,年度变化百分比(APC)为−16.56%(t=−4.314,P=0.013);儿童(0~14岁)最低(2.15/10万),AAPC为−6.90%,且儿童女性的平均发病率(2.37/10万)高于男性(1.94/10万)。
    结论  2011-2022年内蒙古肺结核报告发病率总体呈下降趋势,下降了57.09%,对于男性、老年人以及儿童等重点人群,应加强主动筛查,并在综合管理的基础上针对重点人群加强结核病防控工作。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the incidence trend of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Inner Mongolia autonomous region and provide evidence for the development of TB prevention and control measures.
    Methods The incidence data of pulmonary TB in Inner Mongolia from 2011 to 2022 were collected from Infectious Disease Report Information Management System, a subsystem of China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and the population data in Inner Mongolia during this period were collected from Statistical Yearbook of Inner Mongolia for an incidence trend analysis by using Joinpoint regression model.
    Results A total of 148 600 cases of pulmonary TB were reported in Inner Mongolia from 2011 to 2022, with an average reported incidence rate of 49.74/100 000. The incidence rate decreased from 66.55/100 000 in 2011 to 28.56/100 000 in 2022, with an average annual change percentage (AAPC) of −7.32 %(Z=−2.405, P=0.016) and an annual decline rate of 7.40%. The incidence rates in men (85.66/100 000 in 2011, 36.92/100 000 in 2022) were higher than those in women (45.90/100 000 in 2011, 19.83/100 000 in 2022), and the AAPC was −7.21% in men and −7.36% in women. The average incidence rate in the elderly aged ≥65 years was highest (139.35/100 000), the with the AAPC of −8.64%, and declineed rapidly after 2019; The incidence rate in people aged 45–54 years was stable from 2011 to 2018, but declined after 2018, with an AAPC of −16.56%(t=−4.314, P=0.013). The incidence rate in children aged 0−14 years was lowest (2.15/100 000), with an AAPC of −6.90%. The average incidence rate reported in children and women (2.37/100 000) was higher than that reported in men (1.94/100 000).
    Conclusion From 2011 to 2022, the reported incidence rate of pulmonary TB in Inner Mongolia showed a decline by 57.09%. It is necessary to strengthen active TB screening, prevention and control in key populations, such as men, the elderly and children,

     

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