武洁雯, 纪瀚然, 薛秀丽, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 赵青, 李洁, 戚晓鹏. 2023年5月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(6): 636-639. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306210297
引用本文: 武洁雯, 纪瀚然, 薛秀丽, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 赵青, 李洁, 戚晓鹏. 2023年5月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(6): 636-639. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306210297
Wu Jiewen, Ji Hanran, Xue Xiuli, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in May 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(6): 636-639. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306210297
Citation: Wu Jiewen, Ji Hanran, Xue Xiuli, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Zhao Qing, Li Jie, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in May 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(6): 636-639. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202306210297

2023年5月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in May 2023

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2023年5月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况及对我国的输入风险。
      方法  根据世界卫生组织公开发布的每日COVID-19疫情数据,结合全球COVID-19入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球COVID-19疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
      结果  与2023年4月相比,5月全球月新增确诊病例环比下降了31.36%,月新增死亡病例环比下降了38.5%。 全球月新增确诊病例前10位国家中,韩国、澳大利亚和希腊为全球重点关注国家。 各大洲月新增确诊病例前3位国家中,波多黎各为北美洲一般关注国家,新西兰为大洋洲一般关注国家,毛里求斯和刚果(金)为非洲一般关注国家。 越南是周边十四国特别关注国家。
      结论  全球每日新增确诊病例和死亡病例5月整体呈下降趋势,大洋洲新增确诊病例和死亡病例较上月均有所增加。 对于重点国家和地区要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警

     

    Abstract:
      Objective   To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in May 2023 and the risk of importation.
      Methods   According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by World Health Organization, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighboring countries.
      Results   Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases and deaths globally decreased by 31.36% and 38.5% respectively in May 2023. South Korea, Australia and Greece were countries with global concern, the new cases of which increased significantly this month compared with the last month. Close attention should be paid to Puerto Rico in North America, New Zealand in Oceania, Mauritius and Democratic Republic of the Congo in Africa. Special concern should be paid to Vietnam among the 14 land-boarding countries.
      Conclusion   The global daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a downward trend in May. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global concern and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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