高颖, 刘玉荣, 沈玉祯, 王媛. 1990-2019年中国老年人肺结核疾病负担变化趋势[J]. 疾病监测. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309040471
引用本文: 高颖, 刘玉荣, 沈玉祯, 王媛. 1990-2019年中国老年人肺结核疾病负担变化趋势[J]. 疾病监测. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309040471
Gao Ying, Liu Yurong, Shen Yuzhen, Wang Yuan. Variation trend of disease burden of pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly in China, 1990−2019[J]. Disease Surveillance. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309040471
Citation: Gao Ying, Liu Yurong, Shen Yuzhen, Wang Yuan. Variation trend of disease burden of pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly in China, 1990−2019[J]. Disease Surveillance. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309040471

1990-2019年中国老年人肺结核疾病负担变化趋势

Variation trend of disease burden of pulmonary tuberculosis in the elderly in China, 1990−2019

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析1990—2019年中国老年人肺结核疾病负担现状和趋势,探索老年人肺结核防治策略。
    方法 利用2019年全球疾病负担数据,选取1990—2019年我国65~89岁老年人群肺结核的发病率、死亡率、伤残调整寿命年(DALY)、伤残损失寿命年(YLD)、过早死亡损失寿命年(YLL)等数据,评估中国老年人群在不同时期、不同性别及不同年龄组的肺结核疾病负担情况,并与全球不同地区的结果进行对比。
    结果 1990—2019年中国老年人肺结核的发病人数从19.63万例增加到20.45万例,增长率为4.18%,死亡人数从6.73万例减少到2.11万例,减少68.65%。 年龄别发病率、死亡率以及粗发病率和死亡率均呈现下降趋势;总体年龄别标化的YLD率、YLL率及DALY率呈下降趋势(平均年度变化百分比分别为–2.83%、–7.42%、–6.64%,均P<0.05);各指标性别、年龄组构成中,75~79岁年龄组DALY率最大,85~ 89岁年龄组发病率及死亡率最高,男性疾病负担重于女性;老年人肺结核的年龄别标化发病率、死亡率及DALY率在各级社会发展指数(SDI)国家中处于中等水平,但与高SDI地区相比负担仍较重。
    结论 1990—2019年中国老年人的肺结核疾病负担有所下降,但老年人群肺结核的疾病负担仍较重,男性≥75岁老年群体为重点关注对象,应采取针对性的防治措施。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To evaluate the disease burden of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in the elderly in China from 1990 to 2019, and explore the prevention and treatment strategies of pulmonary TB in the elderly.
    Methods According to the results of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019, the morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), years of lived with disability (YLD) and years of life lost (YLL) of pulmonary TB in the elderly aged 65-89 years in China from 1990 to 2019 were used to evaluate the time, gender and age specific burden of pulmonary TB in the elderly in China, and the results were compared with the data from different regions in the world.
    Results From 1990 to 2019, the number of new cases of pulmonary TB in the elderly in China increased from 196300 to 204500 with a growth rate of 4.18%, and the number of deaths of pulmonary TB decreased from 67300 to 21100 with a decrease rate of 68.65%. The age-specific morbidity and mortality rates, the crude morbidity and mortality rates all showed decreasing trends. The age-standardized rate of YLD, YLL and DALYshowed decreasing trends, the average annual percentage change were –2.83%, –7.42% and –6.64%, P<0.05. The DALY rate was highest in age group 75–79 years, the morbidity and mortality rates were highest in age group 85–89 years. Disease burden in men was heavier than that in women. The age-specific morbidity, mortality and DALY rates of pulmonary TB in the elderly were at a moderate level in countries with different socio-demographic index (SDI), but the burden was still high compared with high SDI areas.
    Conclusion From 1990 to 2019, the disease burden of pulmonary TB in the elderly in China was still relatively heavy. It is necessary to pay more attentions on the elderly men aged ≥75 years and take more effective prevention and treatment measures.

     

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