赵青, 武洁雯, 张亦弛, 纪瀚然, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 薛秀丽, 孙静, 戚晓鹏. 2023年8月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(9): 1029-1032. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309200493
引用本文: 赵青, 武洁雯, 张亦弛, 纪瀚然, 庞明樊, 杨昕娉, 房元圣, 薛秀丽, 孙静, 戚晓鹏. 2023年8月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(9): 1029-1032. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309200493
Zhao Qing, Wu Jiewen, Zhang Yichi, Ji Hanran, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Xue Xiuli, Sun Jing, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in August 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(9): 1029-1032. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309200493
Citation: Zhao Qing, Wu Jiewen, Zhang Yichi, Ji Hanran, Pang Mingfan, Yang Xinping, Fang Yuansheng, Xue Xiuli, Sun Jing, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in August 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(9): 1029-1032. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202309200493

2023年8月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in August 2023

  • 摘要:
      目的  评估2023年8月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况及对我国的输入风险。
      方法  根据世界卫生组织公开发布的每日COVID-19疫情数据,结合全球COVID-19入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球COVID-19疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
      结果  与2023年7月相比,8月全球月新增确诊病例环比上升了3.97%,月新增死亡病例环比下降了45.8%。 全球月新增确诊病例前10位国家中,意大利、英国、墨西哥、希腊、葡萄牙和罗马尼亚为全球重点关注国家;各大洲月新增确诊病例前3位国家中,以色列为亚洲一般关注国家,圣卢西亚为北美洲一般关注国家,摩洛哥为非洲一般关注国家。 俄罗斯、印度、阿富汗、尼泊尔、吉尔吉斯斯坦是周边十四国特别关注国家。
      结论  全球每日新增确诊病例8月整体呈小幅上升趋势,新增死亡病例呈现下降趋势。 对于重点国家和地区要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警。

     

    Abstract:
      Objectives  To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in August 2023 and the risk of importation.
      Methods  According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by World Health Organization, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighboring countries.
      Results   Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases globally increased 3.97%, while the number of deaths decreased by 45.8% in August 2023. Italy, the UK, Mexico, Greece, Portugal and Romania are the countries of global concern. Close attention should be paid to Israel in Asia, Saint Lucia in North America and Morocco in Africa. Special concern should be paid to Russia, India, Afghanistan, Nepal and Kyrgyzstan among the 14 land-boarding countries.
      Conclusion   The global daily new confirmed cases showed a upward trend in August, while deaths cases showed a downward trend. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global concern and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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