孙静, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 庞明樊, 赵青, 房元圣, 张亦弛, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年11月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(12): 1425-1428. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202312190675
引用本文: 孙静, 纪瀚然, 武洁雯, 杨昕娉, 庞明樊, 赵青, 房元圣, 张亦弛, 薛秀丽, 戚晓鹏. 2023年11月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2023, 38(12): 1425-1428. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202312190675
Sun Jing, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Pang Mingfan, Zhao Qing, Fang Yuansheng, Zhang Yichi, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in November 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(12): 1425-1428. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202312190675
Citation: Sun Jing, Ji Hanran, Wu Jiewen, Yang Xinping, Pang Mingfan, Zhao Qing, Fang Yuansheng, Zhang Yichi, Xue Xiuli, Qi Xiaopeng. Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in November 2023[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2023, 38(12): 1425-1428. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202312190675

2023年11月全球新型冠状病毒感染疫情风险评估

Risk assessment of global COVID-19 pandemic in November 2023

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估2023年11月新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)疫情全球流行情况以及对我国的输入风险。
    方法 根据世界卫生组织公开发布的每日 COVID-19 疫情数据,结合全球 COVID-19 入境政策分析,采用流行病学描述方法,通过总体概述、各大洲及重点国家疫情趋势综合评估和周边十四国疫情分析,对全球 COVID-19 疫情风险进行综合、全面与及时的评估。
    结果 与2023年10月相比,全球月新增确诊病例下降了27.80%,月新增死亡病例下降了69.88%,全球月新增确诊病例前10 位国家中,俄罗斯、澳大利亚、新西兰和波兰为全球重点关注国家;各大洲月新增确诊病例前3位国家中,马来西亚为亚洲一般关注国家,毛里求斯和安哥拉为非洲一般关注国家,厄瓜多尔为南美洲一般关注国家。 俄罗斯是周边十四国特别关注国家。
    结论 全球每日新增确诊病例和新增死亡病例11月份均呈下降趋势,多数国家疫情稳定。 对于重点国家要持续加强疫情监测,同相关机构建立沟通机制,互通有无,及时预警。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective  To assess the global epidemic of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in November 2023 and the risk of importation.
    Methods  According to the daily COVID-19 data publicly released by World Health Organization, combined with the travel restrictions published by Sherpa, an epidemiological description method was used to provide a comprehensive and timely assessment of the global epidemic risk through a general overview, a comprehensive assessment of the epidemic trends in each continent and key countries, as well as a comprehensive analysis of the epidemic and travel requirements in 14 neighboring countries.
    Results  Compared with the previous month, the number of confirmed cases and deaths respectively decreased by 27.80% and 69.88% globally in November 2023. Russia, Australia, New Zealand, and Poland are the countries of global concern. Close attention should be paid to Malaysia in Asia, and Mauritius and Angola in Africa, and Ecuador in South America. Special concern should be paid to Russia among the 14 land-boarding countries.
    Conclusion  The global daily new confirmed cases and deaths showed a downward trend in November, and the epidemic situation in most countries was stable. It is necessary to continuously monitor countries with global focus and establish a communication mechanism with relevant agencies to exchange information and provide timely warnings.

     

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