Abstract:
Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies which might occur in China or be imported into China (except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province, the same below) in January 2024.
Methods Based on the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and surveillance results of key infectious diseases reported in China, an expert conference was hold and the experts from provincial (autonomous region and municipal ) centers for disease control and prevention were invited to attend this conference through video terminals.
Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergency in January 2024 would be lower than that in December 2023. The public health emergencies would be mainly caused by respiratory infectious diseases, such as influenza and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The incidence of COVID-19 in China would still be at a low level. It is necessary to strengthen the surveillance for JN.1 variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, which might gradually become the predominant strain and cause epidemic. The incidence of influenza is still at high level and might decrease to interepidemic level by the end of January. The incidence of pertussis continues to increase, but might show a downward trend in January. It is predicted that the risk for non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning might remain high. It is still necessary to strengthen the post-earthquake risk management, such as respiratory disease prevention and control, keeping warm and drinking water and food hygiene, in earthquake stricken area in Jishishan, Gansu province.
Conclusion Special attention should be paid to COVID-19, and general attention should be paid to influenza, pertussis, non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, and public health risks after the earthquake in Jishishan county of Gansu province and Minhe county of Qinghai province.
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